Tipsport Conquest of Prague 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#146 in the world · win 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Tricked#44 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeTricked ban
63%50%
Walczaki · 4 mapsedge Walczaki +13%Tricked · 0 maps
AnubisTricked ban
57%50%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge Walczaki +7%Tricked · 0 maps
DefaultTricked pick
50%50%
Walczaki · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Tricked · 0 maps
AncientWalczaki ban
60%50%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge Walczaki +10%Tricked · 0 maps
InfernoWalczaki pick
60%50%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge Walczaki +10%Tricked · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Ancient
2. BanTricked remove Nuke
3. PickWalczaki take Inferno
4. PickTricked take Default
5. BanTricked remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
Walczaki 57%Tricked 43%
The model gave 57% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
Walczaki 65%Tricked 35%
The model gave 65% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteTricked · 60%
Series resultWalczaki 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2