ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT Academy#130 in the world · win 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisWBT Academy pick
53%33%
WBT Academy · 13 mapsedge WBT Academy +20%Dark Moon · 2 maps
Dust2Dark Moon pick
75%50%
WBT Academy · 8 mapsedge WBT Academy +25%Dark Moon · 6 maps
MirageWBT Academy ban
38%50%
WBT Academy · 9 mapsedge Dark Moon +12%Dark Moon · 4 maps
NukeDark Moon ban
42%40%
WBT Academy · 8 mapsnearly even +2%Dark Moon · 1 map
AncientDark Moon ban
56%50%
WBT Academy · 5 mapsedge WBT Academy +6%Dark Moon · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
WBT Academy · 1 mapedge WBT Academy +10%Dark Moon · 2 maps
InfernoWBT Academy ban
50%60%
WBT Academy · 0 mapsedge Dark Moon +10%Dark Moon · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT Academy remove Inferno
2. BanDark Moon remove Nuke
3. PickWBT Academy take Anubis
4. PickDark Moon take Dust2
5. BanDark Moon remove Ancient
6. BanWBT Academy remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
WBT Academy 73%Dark Moon 27%
The model gave 73% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
WBT Academy 72%Dark Moon 28%
The model gave 72% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT Academy · 71%
Series resultWBT Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2