ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT Academy#120 in the world · win 2:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisWBT Academy pick
33%40%
WBT Academy · 2 mapsedge Gothic +7%Gothic · 1 map
NukeWBT Academy ban
33%50%
WBT Academy · 2 mapsedge Gothic +17%Gothic · 0 maps
MirageGothic ban
50%40%
WBT Academy · 0 mapsedge WBT Academy +10%Gothic · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT Academy remove Nuke
2. BanGothic remove Mirage
3. PickWBT Academy take Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
WBT Academy 53%Gothic 47%
The model gave 53% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by Gothic.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
WBT Academy 47%Gothic 53%
The model gave 53% on Gothic — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
WBT Academy 60%Gothic 40%
The model gave 60% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT Academy · 67%
Series resultWBT Academy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3