ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT Academy#110 in the world · win 2:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
LPH#150 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisWBT Academy pick
50%56%
WBT Academy · 10 mapsedge LPH +6%LPH · 5 maps
Dust2possible decider
70%58%
WBT Academy · 6 mapsedge WBT Academy +12%LPH · 8 maps
NukeWBT Academy ban
40%50%
WBT Academy · 6 mapsedge LPH +10%LPH · 8 maps
AncientLPH pick
50%57%
WBT Academy · 2 mapsedge LPH +7%LPH · 10 maps
InfernoWBT Academy ban
50%70%
WBT Academy · 0 mapsedge LPH +20%LPH · 6 maps
MirageLPH ban
44%50%
WBT Academy · 5 mapsedge LPH +6%LPH · 0 maps
CacheLPH ban
50%29%
WBT Academy · 0 mapsedge WBT Academy +21%LPH · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT Academy remove Inferno
2. BanLPH remove Mirage
3. PickWBT Academy take Anubis
4. PickLPH take Ancient
5. BanLPH remove Cache
6. BanWBT Academy remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (70% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
WBT Academy 37%LPH 63%
The model gave 63% on LPH — the map was taken by LPH.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
WBT Academy 47%LPH 53%
The model gave 53% on LPH — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
WBT Academy 43%LPH 57%
The model gave 57% on LPH — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT Academy · 55%
Series resultWBT Academy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3