HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT Academy#130 in the world · win 2:1series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SAW Youngsters#128 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisWBT Academy pick
57%64%
WBT Academy · 17 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +7%SAW Youngsters · 10 maps
Dust2possible decider
77%39%
WBT Academy · 9 mapsedge WBT Academy +38%SAW Youngsters · 14 maps
MirageWBT Academy ban
43%40%
WBT Academy · 10 mapsnearly even +3%SAW Youngsters · 11 maps
AncientSAW Youngsters ban
60%50%
WBT Academy · 6 mapsedge WBT Academy +10%SAW Youngsters · 6 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
38%29%
WBT Academy · 9 mapsedge WBT Academy +9%SAW Youngsters · 3 maps
InfernoWBT Academy ban
50%60%
WBT Academy · 0 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +10%SAW Youngsters · 11 maps
DefaultSAW Youngsters pick
60%60%
WBT Academy · 1 mapnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT Academy remove Inferno
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
3. PickWBT Academy take Anubis
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Default
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Ancient
6. BanWBT Academy remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (77% / 39%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
WBT Academy 86%SAW Youngsters 14%
The model gave 86% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
WBT Academy 50%SAW Youngsters 50%
The model gave 50% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Anubisprediction missed13:6
WBT Academy 43%SAW Youngsters 57%
The model gave 57% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW Youngsters · 65%
Series resultWBT Academy 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3