HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT#91 in the world · win 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
7o7loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisWBT pick
56%50%
WBT · 14 mapsedge WBT +6%7o7 · 0 maps
Ancientpossible decider
56%50%
WBT · 12 mapsedge WBT +6%7o7 · 0 maps
Dust2WBT ban
50%50%
WBT · 12 mapsnearly even +0%7o7 · 0 maps
Mirage7o7 pick
47%50%
WBT · 11 mapsnearly even -3%7o7 · 0 maps
Nuke7o7 ban
64%50%
WBT · 7 mapsedge WBT +14%7o7 · 0 maps
CacheWBT ban
30%50%
WBT · 6 mapsedge 7o7 +20%7o7 · 0 maps
Default7o7 ban
60%50%
WBT · 1 mapedge WBT +10%7o7 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT remove Cache
2. Ban7o7 remove Nuke
3. PickWBT take Anubis
4. Pick7o7 take Mirage
5. Ban7o7 remove Default
6. BanWBT remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:4
WBT 53%7o7 47%
The model gave 53% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Dust2prediction correct13:0
WBT 53%7o7 47%
The model gave 53% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT · 76%
Series resultWBT 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2