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Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · BO1
pre-match prediction
WBT#108 in the world
series probability
53%47%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
ENCE#112 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageWBT ban
45%60%
WBT · 7 mapsedge ENCE +15%ENCE · 21 map
AnubisENCE ban
50%50%
WBT · 18 mapsnearly even +0%ENCE · 8 maps
Dust2ENCE ban
56%44%
WBT · 12 mapsedge WBT +12%ENCE · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
58%53%
WBT · 8 mapsedge WBT +5%ENCE · 15 maps
CacheWBT ban
31%46%
WBT · 9 mapsedge ENCE +15%ENCE · 9 maps
AncientENCE ban
53%25%
WBT · 13 mapsedge WBT +28%ENCE · 4 maps
InfernoWBT ban
50%61%
WBT · 2 mapsedge ENCE +11%ENCE · 14 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT remove Inferno
2. BanENCE remove Ancient
3. BanWBT remove Cache
4. BanENCE remove Dust2
5. BanWBT remove Mirage
6. BanENCE remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (58% / 53%)