HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT#108 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEternal Fire pick
59%59%
WBT · 13 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 13 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire ban
63%60%
WBT · 15 mapsnearly even +3%Eternal Fire · 11 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%56%
WBT · 10 mapsedge Eternal Fire +6%Eternal Fire · 12 maps
AnubisWBT pick
55%57%
WBT · 16 mapsnearly even -2%Eternal Fire · 3 maps
CacheWBT ban
36%53%
WBT · 7 mapsedge Eternal Fire +17%Eternal Fire · 11 maps
InfernoWBT ban
50%54%
WBT · 2 mapsnearly even -4%Eternal Fire · 9 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
58%33%
WBT · 8 mapsedge WBT +25%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT remove Inferno
2. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
3. PickWBT take Anubis
4. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
5. BanEternal Fire remove Dust2
6. BanWBT remove Cache
DeciderMirage (50% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed11:13
WBT 51%Eternal Fire 49%
The model gave 51% on WBT — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Cacheprediction correct14:16
WBT 31%Eternal Fire 69%
The model gave 69% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 57%
Series resultEternal Fire 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2