Roman Imperium Cup IX · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT#108 in the world · win 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
INFINITE#71 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WBT pick
56%29%
WBT · 12 mapsedge WBT +27%INFINITE · 13 maps
MirageINFINITE pick
50%52%
WBT · 8 mapsnearly even -2%INFINITE · 17 maps
Ancientpossible decider
53%44%
WBT · 11 mapsedge WBT +9%INFINITE · 12 maps
AnubisINFINITE ban
52%40%
WBT · 17 mapsedge WBT +12%INFINITE · 1 map
NukeINFINITE ban
58%42%
WBT · 8 mapsedge WBT +16%INFINITE · 8 maps
CacheWBT ban
31%56%
WBT · 9 mapsedge INFINITE +25%INFINITE · 5 maps
InfernoWBT ban
50%38%
WBT · 2 mapsedge WBT +12%INFINITE · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT remove Inferno
2. BanINFINITE remove Anubis
3. PickWBT take Dust2
4. PickINFINITE take Mirage
5. BanINFINITE remove Nuke
6. BanWBT remove Cache
DeciderAncient (53% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
WBT 78%INFINITE 22%
The model gave 78% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
WBT 57%INFINITE 43%
The model gave 57% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE · 60%
Series resultWBT 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2