iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard#46 in the world · win 2:0series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NRG#30 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoWildcard pick
46%46%
Wildcard · 9 mapsnearly even +0%NRG · 9 maps
CacheNRG pick
43%71%
Wildcard · 3 mapsedge NRG +28%NRG · 13 maps
MirageNRG ban
38%50%
Wildcard · 4 mapsedge NRG +12%NRG · 8 maps
NukeNRG ban
33%73%
Wildcard · 5 mapsedge NRG +40%NRG · 7 maps
Dust2Wildcard ban
50%70%
Wildcard · 4 mapsedge NRG +20%NRG · 6 maps
AncientWildcard ban
50%55%
Wildcard · 0 mapsedge NRG +5%NRG · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWildcard remove Ancient
2. BanNRG remove Mirage
3. PickWildcard take Inferno
4. PickNRG take Cache
5. BanNRG remove Nuke
6. BanWildcard remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Wildcard 40%NRG 60%
The model gave 60% on NRG — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
Wildcard 22%NRG 78%
The model gave 78% on NRG — the map was taken by Wildcard.
Model check result
Model favoriteNRG · 72%
Series resultWildcard 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2