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Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Wings of Freedomloss 1:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BORING PLAYERS#215 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBORING PLAYERS pick
40%50%
Wings of Freedom · 1 mapedge BORING PLAYERS +10%BORING PLAYERS · 4 maps
NukeWings of Freedom pick
67%43%
Wings of Freedom · 2 mapsedge Wings of Freedom +24%BORING PLAYERS · 3 maps
Dust2Wings of Freedom ban
40%50%
Wings of Freedom · 1 mapedge BORING PLAYERS +10%BORING PLAYERS · 2 maps
InfernoWings of Freedom ban
50%50%
Wings of Freedom · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BORING PLAYERS · 2 maps
MirageBORING PLAYERS ban
67%50%
Wings of Freedom · 2 mapsedge Wings of Freedom +17%BORING PLAYERS · 0 maps
AnubisBORING PLAYERS ban
50%60%
Wings of Freedom · 0 mapsedge BORING PLAYERS +10%BORING PLAYERS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWings of Freedom remove Inferno
2. BanBORING PLAYERS remove Mirage
3. PickWings of Freedom take Nuke
4. PickBORING PLAYERS take Ancient
5. BanBORING PLAYERS remove Anubis
6. BanWings of Freedom remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Wings of Freedom 37%BORING PLAYERS 63%
The model gave 63% on BORING PLAYERS — the map was taken by Wings of Freedom.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
Wings of Freedom 43%BORING PLAYERS 57%
The model gave 57% on BORING PLAYERS — the map was taken by BORING PLAYERS.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
Wings of Freedom 73%BORING PLAYERS 27%
The model gave 73% on Wings of Freedom — the map was taken by BORING PLAYERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteWings of Freedom · 55%
Series resultBORING PLAYERS 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3