NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
WW#123 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2CYBERSHOKE Prospects pick
57%67%
WW · 10 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +10%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 14 maps
MirageWW pick
64%55%
WW · 10 mapsedge WW +9%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 7 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
44%46%
WW · 5 mapsnearly even -2%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 9 maps
AncientWW ban
50%69%
WW · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +19%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 12 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
56%60%
WW · 5 mapsnearly even -4%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 6 maps
InfernoWW ban
50%54%
WW · 2 mapsnearly even -4%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 9 maps
Cachepossible decider
43%50%
WW · 3 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +7%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWW remove Ancient
2. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Nuke
3. PickWW take Mirage
4. PickCYBERSHOKE Prospects take Dust2
5. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Anubis
6. BanWW remove Inferno
DeciderCache (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct6:13
WW 42%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 58%
The model gave 58% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Dust2prediction correct14:16
WW 43%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 57%
The model gave 57% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE Prospects · 62%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE Prospects 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2