CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
WW#123 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WW pick
53%50%
WW · 11 mapsnearly even +3%ex-RUSTEC · 16 maps
Miragepossible decider
64%70%
WW · 10 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +6%ex-RUSTEC · 6 maps
Nukeex-RUSTEC ban
44%50%
WW · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +6%ex-RUSTEC · 10 maps
AnubisWW ban
50%58%
WW · 6 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +8%ex-RUSTEC · 8 maps
Cacheex-RUSTEC pick
43%50%
WW · 3 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +7%ex-RUSTEC · 6 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
50%44%
WW · 2 mapsedge WW +6%ex-RUSTEC · 5 maps
DefaultWW ban
50%60%
WW · 0 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +10%ex-RUSTEC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWW remove Default
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
3. PickWW take Dust2
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Cache
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Nuke
6. BanWW remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (64% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
WW 39%ex-RUSTEC 61%
The model gave 61% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Dust2prediction missed12:16
WW 56%ex-RUSTEC 44%
The model gave 56% on WW — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteWW · 67%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2