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GLuck Yungstar 2026 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xcity#224 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
WeClearwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientXcity pick
50%40%
Xcity · 0 mapsedge Xcity +10%WeClear · 1 map
Dust2WeClear pick
40%50%
Xcity · 1 mapedge WeClear +10%WeClear · 0 maps
InfernoWeClear ban
40%50%
Xcity · 1 mapedge WeClear +10%WeClear · 0 maps
MirageXcity ban
50%60%
Xcity · 0 mapsedge WeClear +10%WeClear · 1 map
NukeWeClear ban
50%40%
Xcity · 0 mapsedge Xcity +10%WeClear · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanXcity remove Mirage
2. BanWeClear remove Inferno
3. PickXcity take Ancient
4. PickWeClear take Dust2
5. BanWeClear remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Xcity 37%WeClear 63%
The model gave 63% on WeClear — the map was taken by WeClear.
Overpassprediction correct13:6
Xcity 53%WeClear 47%
The model gave 53% on Xcity — the map was taken by Xcity.
Anubisprediction missed7:13
Xcity 50%WeClear 50%
The model gave 50% on Xcity — the map was taken by WeClear.
Model check result
Model favoriteXcity · 50%
Series resultWeClear 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3