CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yawara#156 in the world · win 2:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageYawara pick
50%50%
Yawara · 14 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 14 maps
Dust2possible decider
67%44%
Yawara · 8 mapsedge Yawara +23%paiN Academy · 12 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
43%40%
Yawara · 10 mapsnearly even +3%paiN Academy · 1 map
AnubispaiN Academy pick
38%55%
Yawara · 4 mapsedge paiN Academy +17%paiN Academy · 7 maps
CacheYawara ban
40%38%
Yawara · 1 mapnearly even +2%paiN Academy · 9 maps
InfernopaiN Academy ban
57%27%
Yawara · 3 mapsedge Yawara +30%paiN Academy · 7 maps
NukeYawara ban
50%43%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge Yawara +7%paiN Academy · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Nuke
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. PickYawara take Mirage
4. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Inferno
6. BanYawara remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (67% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:16
Yawara 74%paiN Academy 26%
The model gave 74% on Yawara — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Anubisprediction missed19:16
Yawara 31%paiN Academy 69%
The model gave 69% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Yawara.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
Yawara 50%paiN Academy 50%
The model gave 50% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 53%
Series resultYawara 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3