WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Young27loss 0:2series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientYoung27 pick
60%50%
Young27 · 1 mapedge Young27 +10%Nemiga · 18 maps
Dust2Nemiga ban
60%58%
Young27 · 1 mapnearly even +2%Nemiga · 15 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
50%69%
Young27 · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +19%Nemiga · 12 maps
MirageYoung27 ban
50%75%
Young27 · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +25%Nemiga · 12 maps
NukeYoung27 ban
50%57%
Young27 · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +7%Nemiga · 10 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%64%
Young27 · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +14%Nemiga · 7 maps
DefaultNemiga ban
50%33%
Young27 · 0 mapsedge Young27 +17%Nemiga · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYoung27 remove Nuke
2. BanNemiga remove Dust2
3. PickYoung27 take Ancient
4. PickNemiga take Anubis
5. BanNemiga remove Default
6. BanYoung27 remove Mirage
DeciderCache (50% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:16
Young27 39%Nemiga 61%
The model gave 61% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
Young27 40%Nemiga 60%
The model gave 60% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 85%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2