WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Young27loss 1:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:2
WW#123 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WW pick
60%53%
Young27 · 1 mapedge Young27 +7%WW · 11 maps
MirageYoung27 pick
50%54%
Young27 · 0 mapsnearly even -4%WW · 9 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%50%
Young27 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%WW · 6 maps
CacheWW ban
40%38%
Young27 · 1 mapnearly even +2%WW · 4 maps
NukeYoung27 ban
40%57%
Young27 · 1 mapedge WW +17%WW · 3 maps
AncientWW ban
60%40%
Young27 · 1 mapedge Young27 +20%WW · 1 map
InfernoYoung27 ban
50%60%
Young27 · 0 mapsedge WW +10%WW · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYoung27 remove Inferno
2. BanWW remove Ancient
3. PickYoung27 take Mirage
4. PickWW take Dust2
5. BanWW remove Cache
6. BanYoung27 remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed5:13
Young27 72%WW 28%
The model gave 72% on Young27 — the map was taken by WW.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Young27 54%WW 46%
The model gave 54% on Young27 — the map was taken by Young27.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Young27 46%WW 54%
The model gave 54% on WW — the map was taken by WW.
Model check result
Model favoriteWW · 66%
Series resultWW 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3