European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Young Ninjas#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisEntropy pick
50%50%
Young Ninjas · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Entropy · 4 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
36%50%
Young Ninjas · 10 mapsedge Entropy +14%Entropy · 0 maps
AncientYoung Ninjas ban
60%67%
Young Ninjas · 6 mapsedge Entropy +7%Entropy · 2 maps
MirageYoung Ninjas ban
33%29%
Young Ninjas · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Entropy · 3 maps
NukeEntropy ban
73%50%
Young Ninjas · 7 mapsedge Young Ninjas +23%Entropy · 0 maps
OverpassYoung Ninjas pick
57%40%
Young Ninjas · 3 mapsedge Young Ninjas +17%Entropy · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
Young Ninjas · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Entropy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYoung Ninjas remove Mirage
2. BanEntropy remove Nuke
3. PickYoung Ninjas take Overpass
4. PickEntropy take Anubis
5. BanEntropy remove Dust2
6. BanYoung Ninjas remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Young Ninjas 47%Entropy 53%
The model gave 53% on Entropy — the map was taken by Young Ninjas.
Overpassprediction correct13:10
Young Ninjas 69%Entropy 31%
The model gave 69% on Young Ninjas — the map was taken by Young Ninjas.
Model check result
Model favoriteYoung Ninjas · 52%
Series resultYoung Ninjas 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2