HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
ZOTIX#179 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TYLOO#32 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientZOTIX pick
56%50%
ZOTIX · 5 mapsedge ZOTIX +6%TYLOO · 8 maps
MirageTYLOO pick
40%56%
ZOTIX · 1 mapedge TYLOO +16%TYLOO · 12 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%46%
ZOTIX · 3 mapsedge ZOTIX +11%TYLOO · 9 maps
NukeZOTIX ban
40%30%
ZOTIX · 1 mapedge ZOTIX +10%TYLOO · 6 maps
CacheZOTIX ban
40%63%
ZOTIX · 1 mapedge TYLOO +23%TYLOO · 4 maps
AnubisTYLOO ban
60%29%
ZOTIX · 1 mapedge ZOTIX +31%TYLOO · 3 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
43%50%
ZOTIX · 3 mapsedge TYLOO +7%TYLOO · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanZOTIX remove Cache
2. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
3. PickZOTIX take Ancient
4. PickTYLOO take Mirage
5. BanTYLOO remove Anubis
6. BanZOTIX remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (57% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed3:13
ZOTIX 81%TYLOO 19%
The model gave 81% on ZOTIX — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
ZOTIX 32%TYLOO 68%
The model gave 68% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 83%
Series resultTYLOO 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2