BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Undyingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
400 picks · 636 bans
Puck
399 picks · 994 bans
Lion
398 picks · 219 bans
Grimstroke
374 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 191 bans
Tiny
305 picks · 216 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 216 bans
Centaur Warrunner
278 picks · 375 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 68%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total54% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:36
4 Zoomers 46%Team Undying 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Undying — the game was taken by Team Undying in 47:22.
Game 2prediction missed34:6
4 Zoomers 46%Team Undying 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Undying — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 31:46.
Game 3prediction missed44:34
4 Zoomers 46%Team Undying 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Undying — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 53:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 54%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3