IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Чехияwin 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Нидерландыloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Чехия
No games played over 6 months.
Нидерланды
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
351 picks · 176 bans
Hoodwink
299 picks · 108 bans
Mars
262 picks · 415 bans
Lina
259 picks · 506 bans
Pangolier
256 picks · 350 bans
Luna
239 picks · 333 bans
Shadow Demon
224 picks · 235 bans
Nyx Assassin
222 picks · 473 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Чехия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Нидерланды
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteНидерланды · 57%
Series resultЧехия 2:0
Series predictionmissed