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DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Liquidloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 34 games
65%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 25 games
72%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 24 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 22 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 20 games
60%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 20 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 18 games
67%

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Boxi · 34 games
68%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 29 games
76%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 28 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 26 games
65%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 24 games
67%
Kez
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 24 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 24 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
534 picks · 325 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
483 picks · 583 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
429 picks · 359 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
418 picks · 225 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
351 picks · 249 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
341 picks · 471 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
331 picks · 854 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
323 picks · 832 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 70%
Hero pool strength51% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 6
Model total52% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:23
PARIVISION 51%Team Liquid 49%
The model gave 51% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 42:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezSatanic
49% · 160 games50% · 158 games
WindrangermiCKe
Windranger
Leshrac
LeshracNo[o]ne
58% · 123 games51% · 141 game
TidehunterAce
Tidehunter
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNoticed
52% · 267 games48% · 242 games
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin9Class
54% · 80 games46% · 20 games
Winter WyverntOfu
Winter Wyvern
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorDukalis
49% · 17 games39% · 86 games
ClockwerkBoxi
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed43:46
PARIVISION 51%Team Liquid 49%
The model gave 51% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 52:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosSatanic
42% · 12 games52% · 69 games
KezmiCKe
Kez
Kunkka
KunkkaNo[o]ne
46% · 83 games47% · 175 games
PuckNisha
Puck
Timbersaw
TimbersawNoticed
57% · 130 games43% · 18 games
Night StalkerAce
Night Stalker
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin9Class
56% · 83 games48% · 101 game
RubickBoxi
Rubick
Techies
TechiesDukalis
49% · 80 games49% · 25 games
LichtOfu
Lich
Game 3prediction missed21:13
PARIVISION 49%Team Liquid 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 46:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
47% · 174 games52% · 181 game
Shadow FiendmiCKe
Shadow Fiend
Timbersaw
TimbersawNoticed
52% · 168 games52% · 96 games
KezNisha
Kez
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
45% · 305 games54% · 161 game
UnderlordAce
Underlord
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
51% · 98 games47% · 184 games
RubickBoxi
Rubick
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeDukalis
46% · 55 games55% · 178 games
BanetOfu
Bane
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 52%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3