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DreamLeague Season 19 · BO2
result vs prediction
Talon Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Tusk
Tusk
Q · 30 games
57%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Q · 25 games
72%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Jabz · 23 games
78%
Rubick
Rubick
Q · 19 games
58%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Mikoto · 18 games
78%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Oli · 17 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 16 games
75%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Oli · 15 games
53%

OG

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Taiga · 21 game
62%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 16 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
Taiga · 12 games
42%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
bzm · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Misha · 11 games
45%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Chuvash · 10 games
60%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Yuragi · 10 games
50%
Slark
Slarksignature
Yuragi · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
984 picks · 669 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
659 picks · 483 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
593 picks · 946 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
560 picks · 436 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
527 picks · 353 bans
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
522 picks · 518 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
511 picks · 1122 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
485 picks · 360 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 45%
Hero pool strength58% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:38
Talon Esports 55%OG 45%
The model gave 55% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by OG in 30:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphling23savage
53% · 159 games50% · 63 games
Anti-MageYuragi
Anti-Mage
Pangolier
PangolierMikoto
48% · 329 games52% · 202 games
Storm Spiritbzm
Storm Spirit
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetJabz
53% · 292 games50% · 217 games
Dragon KnightDM
Dragon Knight
Clockwerk
ClockwerkQ
43% · 297 games50% · 74 games
Dark WillowTaiga
Dark Willow
Warlock
WarlockOli
68% · 34 games44% · 555 games
RubickChuvash
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct34:22
Talon Esports 53%OG 47%
The model gave 53% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 44:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealer23savage
55% · 63 games54% · 48 games
Anti-MageYuragi
Anti-Mage
Beastmaster
BeastmasterJabz
57% · 238 games46% · 104 games
TidehunterDM
Tidehunter
Puck
PuckMikoto
51% · 212 games43% · 170 games
Zeusbzm
Zeus
Enchantress
EnchantressQ
51% · 196 games52% · 40 games
Dark WillowTaiga
Dark Willow
Elder Titan
Elder TitanOli
44% · 33 games46% · 380 games
RubickChuvash
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2