CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Endless Journey#172 in the world · win 2:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEndless Journey pick
71%80%
Endless Journey · 3 mapsedge Atreides +9%Atreides · 11 maps
AncientAtreides pick
50%58%
Endless Journey · 4 mapsedge Atreides +8%Atreides · 8 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
67%40%
Endless Journey · 5 mapsedge Endless Journey +27%Atreides · 6 maps
OverpassAtreides ban
60%43%
Endless Journey · 1 mapedge Endless Journey +17%Atreides · 10 maps
InfernoEndless Journey ban
43%64%
Endless Journey · 3 mapsedge Atreides +21%Atreides · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%55%
Endless Journey · 2 mapsedge Endless Journey +12%Atreides · 7 maps
NukeEndless Journey ban
63%56%
Endless Journey · 4 mapsedge Endless Journey +7%Atreides · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEndless Journey remove Inferno
2. BanAtreides remove Dust2
3. PickEndless Journey take Mirage
4. PickAtreides take Ancient
5. BanAtreides remove Overpass
6. BanEndless Journey remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (67% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
Endless Journey 28%Atreides 72%
The model gave 72% on Atreides — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Mirageprediction correct8:13
Endless Journey 41%Atreides 59%
The model gave 59% on Atreides — the map was taken by Atreides.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
Endless Journey 75%Atreides 25%
The model gave 75% on Endless Journey — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 54%
Series resultEndless Journey 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3