Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE#71 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Betclic#65 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBetclic pick
42%41%
INFINITE · 8 mapsnearly even +1%Betclic · 13 maps
MirageINFINITE pick
60%45%
INFINITE · 11 mapsedge INFINITE +15%Betclic · 7 maps
AncientINFINITE ban
60%44%
INFINITE · 6 mapsedge INFINITE +16%Betclic · 5 maps
AnubisINFINITE ban
60%71%
INFINITE · 1 mapedge Betclic +11%Betclic · 10 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%40%
INFINITE · 5 mapsedge INFINITE +16%Betclic · 6 maps
OverpassBetclic ban
40%30%
INFINITE · 1 mapedge INFINITE +10%Betclic · 6 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
57%29%
INFINITE · 3 mapsedge INFINITE +28%Betclic · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Anubis
2. BanBetclic remove Inferno
3. PickINFINITE take Mirage
4. PickBetclic take Nuke
5. BanBetclic remove Overpass
6. BanINFINITE remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (56% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
INFINITE 68%Betclic 32%
The model gave 68% on INFINITE — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
INFINITE 48%Betclic 52%
The model gave 52% on Betclic — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE · 61%
Series resultINFINITE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2