CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
paiN Academy#286 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2paiN Academy ban
50%36%
ex-KRÜ · 6 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +14%paiN Academy · 7 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
50%50%
ex-KRÜ · 2 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 8 maps
Nukeex-KRÜ pick
57%50%
ex-KRÜ · 3 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +7%paiN Academy · 2 maps
Anubisex-KRÜ ban
50%50%
ex-KRÜ · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
33%67%
ex-KRÜ · 2 mapsedge paiN Academy +34%paiN Academy · 2 maps
Overpassex-KRÜ ban
40%43%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapnearly even -3%paiN Academy · 3 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
33%50%
ex-KRÜ · 2 mapsedge paiN Academy +17%paiN Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-KRÜ remove Anubis
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. Pickex-KRÜ take Nuke
4. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Dust2
6. Banex-KRÜ remove Overpass
DeciderInferno (33% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
ex-KRÜ 47%paiN Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
ex-KRÜ 60%paiN Academy 40%
The model gave 60% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by ex-KRÜ.
Infernoprediction correct8:13
ex-KRÜ 20%paiN Academy 80%
The model gave 80% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 56%
Series resultpaiN Academy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3