Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-194u
ROI
-7.9%
win rate
30%
bets
37
drawdown
58.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4profit withdrawn+691u
period 3profit withdrawn+57u
period 2profit withdrawn+58u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 37 | 30% | -194 | -7.9% | 58.2% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 155 | 25% | -258 | -16.8% | 31% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 155 | 25% | -261 | -16.8% | 31.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 155 | 25% | -509 | -16.7% | 57.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 155 | 25% | -1202 | -16.2% | 118% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 155 | 25% | -2091 | -14.9% | 159.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 37, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | 6666 | 3.24 | 491 | lost | -491 | 806 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | lafox | 3.06 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1297 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | Nordic Partners | 3.06 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1617 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 3.11 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1777 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Procyon | 3.14 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1857 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.19 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1897 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1917 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | SINNERS | 4.02 | 40 | won | +121 | 1927 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 3.64 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1806 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Liquid | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1826 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | WW | 3.08 | 80 | won | +166 | 1836 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | Nordic Partners | 3.05 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1670 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1710 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | HTX | 3.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1730 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BAKS | BAKS | 3.42 | 10 | won | +24 | 1740 |
| 26.07.26 | QUAZAR – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 3.58 | 10 | won | +26 | 1716 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – Astralis | Astralis | 3.12 | 40 | won | +85 | 1690 |
| 23.07.26 | Walczaki – 3DMAX | 3DMAX | 3.14 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1605 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-RUBY – PsychoFace | PsychoFace | 3.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1625 |
| 18.07.26 | PsychoFace – QUAZAR | PsychoFace | 3.07 | 20 | won | +41 | 1635 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-RUBY – PsychoFace | PsychoFace | 3.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1594 |
| 16.07.26 | HEROIC – Phantom | HEROIC | 3.03 | 320 | won | +649 | 1604 |
| 16.07.26 | Walczaki – SPARTA | SPARTA | 3.18 | 160 | lost | -160 | 955 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | Vasco | 3.61 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1115 |
| 24.06.26 | EAC – Walczaki | EAC | 3.33 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1195 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | Ursa | 3.08 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1235 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | SPARTA | 3.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1255 |
| 14.06.26 | K27 – Walczaki | K27 | 3.04 | 160 | won | +327 | 1265 |
| 06.06.26 | aAa – GenOne | aAa | 3.45 | 80 | lost | -80 | 938 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 Ares – aAa | aAa | 3.09 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1018 |
| 30.05.26 | INOX Division – aAa | aAa | 3.24 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1058 |
| 29.05.26 | LP – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1078 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 20 | won | +45 | 1088 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1043 |
| 13.05.26 | Johnny Speeds – Walczaki | Johnny Speeds | 3.03 | 20 | won | +41 | 1053 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | BET-M | 3.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1012 |
| 09.05.26 | Tricked – Walczaki | Tricked | 3.23 | 10 | won | +22 | 1022 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.