Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-1224u
ROI
-16.4%
win rate
25%
bets
156
drawdown
119.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-324u
period 6top-up-419u
period 5top-up-584u
period 4profit withdrawn+183u
period 3top-up-190u
period 2profit withdrawn+109u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 37 | 30% | -194 | -7.9% | 58.2% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -267 | -17.2% | 31.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 156 | 25% | -271 | -17.3% | 32.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -524 | -17.1% | 59.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -1224 | -16.4% | 119.6% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -2109 | -15.1% | 161.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 156, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | XI | 3.18 | 36 | lost | -36 | -224 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 32 | won | +68 | -188 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 34 | lost | -34 | -256 |
| 11.10.26 | Imperial – NRG | NRG | 3.04 | 36 | lost | -36 | -222 |
| 11.10.26 | Unreal Nightmare – Without a Roof | Unreal Nightmare | 3.81 | 38 | lost | -38 | -187 |
| 10.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.15 | 34 | won | +73 | -149 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 36 | lost | -36 | -222 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 38 | lost | -38 | -186 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 33 | won | +98 | -149 |
| 10.10.26 | mellren – Honvéd | Honvéd | 3.06 | 34 | lost | -34 | -247 |
| 09.10.26 | Nemiga – Gothic | Gothic | 4.64 | 36 | lost | -36 | -213 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 33 | won | +68 | -177 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Lilmix | 4.10 | 34 | lost | -34 | -245 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 36 | lost | -36 | -210 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 38 | lost | -38 | -174 |
| 08.10.26 | Nemiga – Lavked | Lavked | 5.23 | 40 | lost | -40 | -136 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 42 | lost | -42 | -96 |
| 07.10.26 | Spirit – M80 | M80 | 3.15 | 45 | lost | -45 | -53 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 40 | won | +94 | -9 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 42 | lost | -42 | -103 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.59 | 37 | won | +96 | -61 |
| 06.10.26 | MASONIC – ex-Zero Tenacity | MASONIC | 3.08 | 39 | lost | -39 | -157 |
| 04.10.26 | Nemiga – Astralis | Astralis | 3.68 | 34 | won | +92 | -118 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 36 | lost | -36 | -211 |
| 03.10.26 | Luminosity – Nemiga | Luminosity | 3.91 | 38 | lost | -38 | -174 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 40 | lost | -40 | -136 |
| 03.10.26 | Legacy – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 3.02 | 36 | won | +74 | -96 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 38 | lost | -38 | -170 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 40 | lost | -40 | -131 |
| 02.10.26 | HAVU – Sangal | HAVU | 3.14 | 37 | won | +78 | -91 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 38 | lost | -38 | -169 |
| 02.10.26 | Lilmix – Eternal Fire | Lilmix | 5.74 | 40 | lost | -40 | -131 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.22 | 43 | lost | -43 | -90 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 39 | won | +78 | -48 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Lilmix | Lilmix | 4.73 | 41 | lost | -41 | -126 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.53 | 43 | lost | -43 | -85 |
| 02.10.26 | SINNERS – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.49 | 45 | lost | -45 | -42 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | HAVU | 3.69 | 48 | lost | -48 | 3 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 50 | lost | -50 | 51 |
| 30.09.26 | ex-RUSTEC – BERG | BERG | 3.10 | 31 | lost | -31 | 101 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 32 | lost | -32 | 131 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 34 | lost | -34 | 163 |
| 29.09.26 | Villainous – LAG | Villainous | 3.13 | 36 | lost | -36 | 197 |
| 28.09.26 | BET-M – Nemiga | BET-M | 3.30 | 38 | lost | -38 | 233 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 40 | lost | -40 | 271 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 42 | lost | -42 | 310 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 44 | lost | -44 | 352 |
| 27.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 3.09 | 46 | lost | -46 | 396 |
| 27.09.26 | Marsborne – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.29 | 49 | lost | -49 | 442 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 44 | won | +89 | 490 |
| 26.09.26 | Privateer – mellren | Privateer | 3.31 | 46 | lost | -46 | 401 |
| 26.09.26 | Nemiga – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 3.40 | 41 | won | +99 | 448 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 44 | lost | -44 | 348 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 46 | lost | -46 | 392 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 48 | lost | -48 | 438 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.09 | 51 | lost | -51 | 486 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 54 | lost | -54 | 537 |
| 25.09.26 | DETONATE – LAG | DETONATE | 3.23 | 56 | lost | -56 | 591 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.05 | 59 | lost | -59 | 647 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Just Players | 3.77 | 62 | lost | -62 | 706 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.