?

CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 5563 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Always the underdog · 5% of bankrollits recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+1514u
profit
+42.3%
ROI
22%
win rate
122.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+621u
profit
+4.8%
ROI
59%
win rate
48.4%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+621u
profit
+4.8%
ROI
59%
win rate
48.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+11u
profit
+0.2%
ROI
59%
win rate
18.2%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+11u
profit
+0.2%
ROI
59%
win rate
18.2%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+7u
profit
+0.1%
ROI
59%
win rate
18.4%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+7u
profit
+0.1%
ROI
59%
win rate
18.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+7u
profit
+0.1%
ROI
59%
win rate
36.6%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+7u
profit
+0.1%
ROI
59%
win rate
36.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-43u
profit
-0.2%
ROI
59%
win rate
87.7%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-43u
profit
-0.2%
ROI
59%
win rate
87.7%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-55u
profit
-30.7%
ROI
22%
win rate
10.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-55u
profit
-30.7%
ROI
22%
win rate
10.8%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-93u
profit
-16.9%
ROI
60%
win rate
10%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-93u
profit
-16.9%
ROI
60%
win rate
10%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-111u
profit
-30.7%
ROI
22%
win rate
21.4%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-171u
profit
-13.2%
ROI
60%
win rate
23.2%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-186u
profit
-17%
ROI
60%
win rate
19.9%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-277u
profit
-30.8%
ROI
22%
win rate
51.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-309u
profit
-0.6%
ROI
59%
win rate
152.3%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-309u
profit
-0.6%
ROI
59%
win rate
152.3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-425u
profit
-11.9%
ROI
39%
win rate
44.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-426u
profit
-12%
ROI
39%
win rate
44.4%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-464u
profit
-17.2%
ROI
60%
win rate
49.1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-558u
profit
-31%
ROI
22%
win rate
97.7%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-687u
profit
-12.8%
ROI
41%
win rate
73.7%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-694u
profit
-12.7%
ROI
41%
win rate
74.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-726u
profit
-13.5%
ROI
40%
win rate
77.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-731u
profit
-13.4%
ROI
40%
win rate
78%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-750u
profit
-34.2%
ROI
49%
win rate
80%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-752u
profit
-34.3%
ROI
49%
win rate
80.1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-851u
profit
-12.1%
ROI
39%
win rate
88.7%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-925u
profit
-17.4%
ROI
60%
win rate
96.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1000u
profit
-100%
ROI
0%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1358u
profit
-12.8%
ROI
41%
win rate
135.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-1438u
profit
-13.6%
ROI
40%
win rate
141.9%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-2122u
profit
-12.4%
ROI
39%
win rate
220.2%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-3269u
profit
-13%
ROI
41%
win rate
267%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-3483u
profit
-13.9%
ROI
40%
win rate
278.9%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-4171u
profit
-12.8%
ROI
39%
win rate
428.9%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-6065u
profit
-13.2%
ROI
41%
win rate
388.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-6512u
profit
-14.3%
ROI
40%
win rate
395.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.