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CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 5554 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5 · 1% of bankrollits recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+815u
profit
+59.1%
ROI
31%
win rate
57.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+742u
profit
+6%
ROI
58%
win rate
42.1%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+742u
profit
+6%
ROI
58%
win rate
42.1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+65u
profit
+5.1%
ROI
31%
win rate
48.3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+9u
profit
+1.4%
ROI
31%
win rate
26.9%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-2u
profit
-1.5%
ROI
31%
win rate
5.9%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-2u
profit
-0.7%
ROI
31%
win rate
11.5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-3u
profit
-2.2%
ROI
31%
win rate
5.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-74u
profit
-1.4%
ROI
58%
win rate
24%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-74u
profit
-1.4%
ROI
58%
win rate
24%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-80u
profit
-16.4%
ROI
59%
win rate
9.9%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-81u
profit
-16.6%
ROI
59%
win rate
10%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-82u
profit
-1.5%
ROI
58%
win rate
24.3%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-82u
profit
-1.5%
ROI
58%
win rate
24.3%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-159u
profit
-16.3%
ROI
59%
win rate
19.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-178u
profit
-1.6%
ROI
58%
win rate
44.9%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-178u
profit
-1.6%
ROI
58%
win rate
44.9%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-187u
profit
-13.6%
ROI
59%
win rate
30.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-302u
profit
-8.9%
ROI
40%
win rate
33.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-306u
profit
-9.1%
ROI
40%
win rate
33.8%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-383u
profit
-15.8%
ROI
59%
win rate
45.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-498u
profit
-9.1%
ROI
43%
win rate
51.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-502u
profit
-9.3%
ROI
43%
win rate
51.6%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-535u
profit
-9.8%
ROI
42%
win rate
53.5%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-539u
profit
-10%
ROI
42%
win rate
53.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-551u
profit
-2%
ROI
58%
win rate
93.7%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-551u
profit
-2%
ROI
58%
win rate
93.7%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-620u
profit
-9.3%
ROI
40%
win rate
68.4%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-722u
profit
-15.1%
ROI
59%
win rate
82.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-822u
profit
-42.6%
ROI
41%
win rate
84.9%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-830u
profit
-44.1%
ROI
39%
win rate
85.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-1013u
profit
-9.5%
ROI
43%
win rate
101.2%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1085u
profit
-10.2%
ROI
42%
win rate
108.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1420u
profit
-2.7%
ROI
58%
win rate
153.3%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1420u
profit
-2.7%
ROI
58%
win rate
153.3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1508u
profit
-35.6%
ROI
33%
win rate
145.3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1605u
profit
-9.8%
ROI
40%
win rate
175.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-2580u
profit
-10.1%
ROI
43%
win rate
238.3%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-2752u
profit
-10.8%
ROI
42%
win rate
275.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-3374u
profit
-10.6%
ROI
40%
win rate
362.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-5256u
profit
-11.1%
ROI
43%
win rate
427.8%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-5569u
profit
-11.7%
ROI
42%
win rate
556.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.