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CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 2466 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Model underdog (Elo) · 10% of bankrollits recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+1235u
profit
+3.3%
ROI
46%
win rate
93.5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+432u
profit
+2.3%
ROI
46%
win rate
56.6%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+160u
profit
+80%
ROI
50%
win rate
10%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+104u
profit
+1.4%
ROI
46%
win rate
30.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+80u
profit
+80%
ROI
50%
win rate
5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+42u
profit
+140%
ROI
50%
win rate
1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+39u
profit
+1.1%
ROI
46%
win rate
19.3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+32u
profit
+80%
ROI
50%
win rate
2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+25u
profit
+0.7%
ROI
46%
win rate
20.1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+16u
profit
+80%
ROI
50%
win rate
1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+16u
profit
+80%
ROI
50%
win rate
1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-47u
profit
-21.6%
ROI
55%
win rate
6.3%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-48u
profit
-21.7%
ROI
55%
win rate
6.3%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-81u
profit
-14.5%
ROI
55%
win rate
14.9%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-96u
profit
-21.9%
ROI
55%
win rate
12.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-213u
profit
-1.1%
ROI
54%
win rate
71.2%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-213u
profit
-1.1%
ROI
54%
win rate
71.2%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-245u
profit
-22.4%
ROI
55%
win rate
31.2%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-253u
profit
-4.1%
ROI
46%
win rate
31.4%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-269u
profit
-4.3%
ROI
46%
win rate
32.8%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-275u
profit
-4.3%
ROI
48%
win rate
60.2%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-282u
profit
-5.2%
ROI
48%
win rate
60.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-293u
profit
-4.7%
ROI
46%
win rate
36.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-307u
profit
-4.9%
ROI
46%
win rate
37.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-364u
profit
-5.9%
ROI
54%
win rate
50.9%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-364u
profit
-5.9%
ROI
54%
win rate
50.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-379u
profit
-6.1%
ROI
54%
win rate
52.2%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-379u
profit
-6.1%
ROI
54%
win rate
52.2%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-477u
profit
-3.9%
ROI
46%
win rate
59.3%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-505u
profit
-23.2%
ROI
55%
win rate
61.8%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-561u
profit
-4.6%
ROI
46%
win rate
66.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-697u
profit
-5.7%
ROI
54%
win rate
96.3%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-697u
profit
-5.7%
ROI
54%
win rate
96.3%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1043u
profit
-3.5%
ROI
46%
win rate
131.7%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1100u
profit
-13.9%
ROI
46%
win rate
105%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-1272u
profit
-4.3%
ROI
46%
win rate
134.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1520u
profit
-5.2%
ROI
54%
win rate
206.8%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1520u
profit
-5.2%
ROI
54%
win rate
206.8%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1962u
profit
-3.5%
ROI
46%
win rate
210.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-2416u
profit
-4.4%
ROI
54%
win rate
327%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-2416u
profit
-4.4%
ROI
54%
win rate
327%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-2441u
profit
-4.4%
ROI
46%
win rate
187.6%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.