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CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 2456 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Model underdog (Elo) · 2% of bankrollits recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+257u
profit
+1.9%
ROI
51%
win rate
49.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+212u
profit
+15.4%
ROI
36%
win rate
32.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+108u
profit
+15.5%
ROI
36%
win rate
21%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+44u
profit
+15.6%
ROI
36%
win rate
10.3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+22u
profit
+15.7%
ROI
36%
win rate
5.5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+22u
profit
+15.7%
ROI
36%
win rate
5.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-95u
profit
-9.5%
ROI
63%
win rate
15.5%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-95u
profit
-9.5%
ROI
63%
win rate
15.5%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-180u
profit
-8.6%
ROI
63%
win rate
35.4%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-190u
profit
-9.5%
ROI
63%
win rate
30.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-295u
profit
-2.2%
ROI
45%
win rate
51.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-323u
profit
-2.4%
ROI
45%
win rate
53.5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-448u
profit
-13.6%
ROI
50%
win rate
64.4%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-479u
profit
-9.5%
ROI
63%
win rate
75%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-482u
profit
-65.1%
ROI
36%
win rate
54.9%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-538u
profit
-2%
ROI
45%
win rate
79.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-582u
profit
-12%
ROI
49%
win rate
71.3%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-842u
profit
-3.5%
ROI
47%
win rate
95.2%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-859u
profit
-3.5%
ROI
47%
win rate
92.1%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-866u
profit
-3.5%
ROI
47%
win rate
95.8%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-885u
profit
-3.6%
ROI
47%
win rate
94.9%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-968u
profit
-9.6%
ROI
63%
win rate
143.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1001u
profit
-1.5%
ROI
45%
win rate
107.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1158u
profit
-26%
ROI
44%
win rate
115%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1158u
profit
-26%
ROI
44%
win rate
115%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1196u
profit
-0.9%
ROI
45%
win rate
109.8%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1636u
profit
-3.4%
ROI
47%
win rate
163%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-1671u
profit
-3.5%
ROI
47%
win rate
166.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1748u
profit
-7.2%
ROI
53%
win rate
178.9%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1748u
profit
-7.2%
ROI
53%
win rate
178.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1782u
profit
-7.3%
ROI
53%
win rate
182.9%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1782u
profit
-7.3%
ROI
53%
win rate
182.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-3431u
profit
-7.1%
ROI
53%
win rate
350.1%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-3431u
profit
-7.1%
ROI
53%
win rate
350.1%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-3768u
profit
-3.2%
ROI
47%
win rate
280.8%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-3862u
profit
-3.3%
ROI
47%
win rate
320.6%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-6641u
profit
-2.9%
ROI
47%
win rate
359.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-6886u
profit
-3%
ROI
47%
win rate
393.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-8115u
profit
-6.8%
ROI
53%
win rate
820.4%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-8115u
profit
-6.8%
ROI
53%
win rate
820.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-14873u
profit
-6.5%
ROI
53%
win rate
1499.3%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-14873u
profit
-6.5%
ROI
53%
win rate
1499.3%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.