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CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 2438 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Always the favorite · 10% of bankrollits recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+13961u
profit
+10.5%
ROI
47%
win rate
68.7%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+17u
profit
+1.9%
ROI
33%
win rate
30.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+17u
profit
+5.2%
ROI
33%
win rate
13.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+12u
profit
+7.9%
ROI
33%
win rate
6.5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+10u
profit
+6.5%
ROI
33%
win rate
6.8%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-45u
profit
-2.2%
ROI
33%
win rate
52.2%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-71u
profit
-4.2%
ROI
64%
win rate
20%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-79u
profit
-9.1%
ROI
64%
win rate
14.7%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-80u
profit
-8.5%
ROI
64%
win rate
15.7%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-155u
profit
-9.7%
ROI
64%
win rate
27.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-328u
profit
-2.5%
ROI
45%
win rate
53.6%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-334u
profit
-2.3%
ROI
45%
win rate
54.8%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-367u
profit
-11.7%
ROI
64%
win rate
56.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-577u
profit
-3.2%
ROI
47%
win rate
65.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-621u
profit
-2.1%
ROI
45%
win rate
81.7%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-629u
profit
-3.8%
ROI
47%
win rate
66%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-645u
profit
-15.5%
ROI
64%
win rate
82.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-728u
profit
-3%
ROI
47%
win rate
80.8%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-846u
profit
-7.8%
ROI
53%
win rate
85.7%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-846u
profit
-7.8%
ROI
53%
win rate
85.7%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-860u
profit
-3.5%
ROI
47%
win rate
96%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-862u
profit
-3.1%
ROI
47%
win rate
89.7%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-894u
profit
-4%
ROI
47%
win rate
90.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-973u
profit
-1.3%
ROI
45%
win rate
99.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-980u
profit
-8.5%
ROI
53%
win rate
98.3%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-980u
profit
-8.5%
ROI
53%
win rate
98.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-999u
profit
-3%
ROI
47%
win rate
99.9%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-999u
profit
-4.1%
ROI
47%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1000u
profit
-0.8%
ROI
45%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1000u
profit
-11.1%
ROI
53%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1000u
profit
-11.1%
ROI
53%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-1000u
profit
-4.9%
ROI
47%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1000u
profit
-5.9%
ROI
47%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1000u
profit
-12.2%
ROI
53%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1000u
profit
-12.2%
ROI
53%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no resetruin

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1000u
profit
-6.1%
ROI
53%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingaleno resetruin

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1000u
profit
-36.2%
ROI
48%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingaleno resetruin

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-1000u
profit
-23.7%
ROI
48%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingaleno resetruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1000u
profit
-29.7%
ROI
52%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingaleno resetruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-1000u
profit
-79.5%
ROI
33%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no resetruin

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1000u
profit
-6.1%
ROI
53%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingaleno resetruin

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1000u
profit
-36.2%
ROI
48%
win rate
100%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.