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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-1811u
ROI
-7.4%
win rate
53%
bets
2444
drawdown
185.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-321u
period 3top-up-720u
period 2top-up-283u
period 1top-up-487u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale8048%-1000-31.1%100%Select
1% of bankroll244453%-1479-7.4%150.5%Select
Flat (10 units)244453%-1811-7.4%185.1%Selected
2% of bankroll244453%-2441-7.4%245.1%Select
5% of bankroll244453%-3682-7%358.1%Select
10% of bankroll244453%-3989-5.6%218.6%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2444, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Lavked – ENCEENCE1.8210won+8-811
20.08.26mellren – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.5310lost-10-819
20.08.26LPH – WBTWBT1.7910won+8-809
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityFaZe1.6810lost-10-817
20.08.26B8 – SpiritSpirit1.5710won+6-807
20.08.26OG – SPARTAOG1.7710won+8-813
20.08.26Metizport – ColorColor1.8510lost-10-821
20.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – benched godsex-Zero Tenacity1.7710lost-10-811
20.08.26Lavked – UNiTYUNiTY1.8310won+8-801
20.08.26Natus Vincere – LegacyNatus Vincere1.8710lost-10-809
20.08.26ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verseex-Sashi Academy1.8210lost-10-799
20.08.26Falcons – The MongolZFalcons1.5210won+5-789
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersHonvéd1.6710won+7-794
20.08.26G2 Ares – BebopG2 Ares1.8010won+8-801
20.08.26Bushido Wildcats – RaccoonsBushido Wildcats1.5710won+6-809
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZMOUZ1.5510won+6-814
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraAurora1.7710lost-10-820
19.08.26Honvéd – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.4210lost-10-810
19.08.26Permitta – Falcons ForcePermitta1.7710lost-10-800
19.08.26EAC – ColorEAC1.7810lost-10-790
19.08.26Metizport – Fire FluxFire Flux1.8610lost-10-780
19.08.26PCIFIC – SPARTAPCIFIC1.8010lost-10-770
19.08.26The Last Resort – OGOG1.8010won+8-760
19.08.26Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRITHYPERSPIRIT1.6810won+7-768
19.08.26FUT – magicmagic1.8010lost-10-775
19.08.26G2 – AstralisG21.7410won+7-765
19.08.26Permitta – EACEAC1.7210won+7-772
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero TenacityEnjoy1.6710lost-10-779
19.08.26Black Phoenix – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.4310lost-10-769
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseRevise1.6710lost-10-759
19.08.26Noir Verse – ENCEENCE1.6510lost-10-749
19.08.26Misa – The Last ResortThe Last Resort1.6610won+7-739
19.08.26Mai Tai – HonvédHonvéd1.4910won+5-746
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTASPARTA1.7510won+7-751
19.08.26Entropy – Fire FluxFire Flux1.6810won+7-758
19.08.26Black Phoenix – RaccoonsBlack Phoenix1.8310lost-10-765
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaHYPERSPIRIT1.7810won+8-755
19.08.26Misa – ex-Sashi Academyex-Sashi Academy1.8010won+8-763
19.08.26G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity1.7810won+8-771
19.08.26SAW Youngsters – ex-MANAex-MANA1.8610lost-10-779
19.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Endless JourneyBushido Wildcats1.4410won+4-769
19.08.26Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXTInner Circle Academy1.8510won+8-773
19.08.26GenOne – UNiTYGenOne1.5010won+5-782
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraStrael Bora1.7210lost-10-786
18.08.26Lavked – HAVULavked1.8410lost-10-776
18.08.26DONSTU – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT1.7710won+8-766
18.08.26EAC – OGEAC1.7410lost-10-774
18.08.26Fortress – PermittaPermitta1.5410won+5-764
18.08.26Honvéd – Noir VerseHonvéd1.8110won+8-770
18.08.26Color – The Last ResortThe Last Resort1.8610lost-10-778
18.08.26Fire Flux – PCIFICFire Flux1.8210lost-10-768
18.08.26Omega – EntropyOmega1.4610lost-10-758
18.08.26Metizport – SPARTASPARTA1.8810lost-10-748
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICPCIFIC1.7110won+7-738
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – VexarVexar1.7810lost-10-745
18.08.26Leo – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.7810won+8-735
18.08.26Bushido Wildcats – MisaBushido Wildcats1.2910won+3-743
18.08.26WBT – Mai TaiWBT1.3610won+4-746
18.08.26Color – MisaColor1.7410won+7-749
18.08.26Permitta – OGPermitta1.8410lost-10-757
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.