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Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

profit
-23191u
ROI
-96.6%
win rate
1%
bets
4061
drawdown
2319.1%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-857u
period 24top-up-841u
period 23top-up-936u
period 22top-up-984u
period 21top-up-967u
period 20top-up-948u
period 19top-up-983u
period 18top-up-988u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
Flat (10 units)1461%-1300-89.3%130%Select
1% of bankroll40611%-19127-96.4%1912.7%Select
2% of bankroll40611%-23191-96.6%2319.1%Selected
5% of bankroll40611%-24753-97.2%2475.3%Select
Quarter Kelly40551%-24955-96.6%2495.5%Select
10% of bankroll40611%-24957-96.7%2495.7%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4061, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.003lost-3-22191
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.003lost-3-22188
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team15.003lost-3-22185
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.003lost-3-22182
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w TeamGamerLegion15.003lost-3-22179
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience14.003lost-3-22176
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamAurora Gaming9.003lost-3-22173
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.003lost-3-22169
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming6.003lost-3-22166
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.003lost-3-22163
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming14.004lost-4-22159
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.004lost-4-22156
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.004lost-4-22152
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.004lost-4-22148
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.304lost-4-22144
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.004lost-4-22141
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.004lost-4-22137
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Resilience15.004lost-4-22133
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-22128
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.004lost-4-22124
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingTeam Yandex5.304lost-4-22120
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-22116
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Liquid11.005lost-5-22111
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingGamerLegion15.005lost-5-22107
14.08.261w Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons6.605lost-5-22102
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONBETBOOM Team9.005lost-5-22097
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.005lost-5-22092
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionXtreme Gaming15.005lost-5-22087
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.805lost-5-22082
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingTeam Resilience8.505lost-5-22077
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.005lost-5-22072
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming14.005lost-5-22067
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.006lost-6-22061
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.006lost-6-22056
13.08.261w Team – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy15.006lost-6-22050
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.006lost-6-22044
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.006lost-6-22038
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.006lost-6-22032
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy5.306lost-6-22026
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.006lost-6-22020
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.007lost-7-22013
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereLevel UP15.007lost-7-22007
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.007lost-7-22000
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.007lost-7-21993
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPYellow Submarine14.007lost-7-21986
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseTeam Lynx11.007lost-7-21979
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityIlbirs eSports13.007lost-7-21972
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZPower Rangers7.008lost-8-21965
09.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSportsRune Eaters Arise6.007won+34-21957
09.08.26Zero Tenacity – Natus VincereZero Tenacity14.007lost-7-21991
09.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Rune EatersIlbirs eSports14.007lost-7-21984
09.08.26Level UP – MOUZMOUZ10.007lost-7-21977
09.08.26Power Rangers – Yellow SubmarinePower Rangers14.007lost-7-21970
08.08.26Team Lynx – Level UPTeam Lynx13.008lost-8-21962
08.08.26Amaru Gaming – Team JenzTeam Jenz14.008lost-8-21955
08.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.008lost-8-21947
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.008lost-8-21939
08.08.26Power Rangers – Team SyntaxTeam Syntax12.008lost-8-21931
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingTeam Jenz14.008lost-8-21923
07.08.26Power Rangers – Team JenzTeam Jenz10.009lost-9-21915
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.