Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.
profit
-24753u
ROI
-97.2%
win rate
1%
bets
4061
drawdown
2475.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-993u
period 24top-up-991u
period 23top-up-999u
period 22top-up-1000u
period 21top-up-1000u
period 20top-up-999u
period 19top-up-1000u
period 18top-up-1000u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1000 | -100% | 100% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 146 | 1% | -1300 | -89.3% | 130% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 4061 | 1% | -19127 | -96.4% | 1912.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 4061 | 1% | -23191 | -96.6% | 2319.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 4061 | 1% | -24753 | -97.2% | 2475.3% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 4055 | 1% | -24955 | -96.6% | 2495.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 4061 | 1% | -24957 | -96.7% | 2495.7% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4061, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 0 | lost | -0 | -23753 |
| 20.08.26 | PARIVISION – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 15.00 | 0 | lost | -0 | -23753 |
| 20.08.26 | 1w Team – Team Spirit | 1w Team | 15.00 | 0 | lost | -0 | -23752 |
| 16.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Yandex | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 0 | lost | -0 | -23752 |
| 16.08.26 | GamerLegion – 1w Team | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 0 | lost | -0 | -23751 |
| 16.08.26 | Team Spirit – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 14.00 | 0 | lost | -0 | -23751 |
| 16.08.26 | Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM Team | Aurora Gaming | 9.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23750 |
| 16.08.26 | Team Falcons – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23750 |
| 15.08.26 | Team Liquid – Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming | 6.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23749 |
| 15.08.26 | OG – GamerLegion | OG | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23749 |
| 15.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 14.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23748 |
| 15.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Xtreme Gaming | 11.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23748 |
| 15.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | Team Spirit | 14.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23747 |
| 15.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – Aurora Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23746 |
| 15.08.26 | 1w Team – Team Liquid | 1w Team | 5.30 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23746 |
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23745 |
| 15.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23744 |
| 15.08.26 | Team Resilience – Team Yandex | Team Resilience | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23743 |
| 15.08.26 | OG – L1ga Team | L1ga Team | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23742 |
| 15.08.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23741 |
| 14.08.26 | Team Yandex – Aurora Gaming | Team Yandex | 5.30 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23740 |
| 14.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – L1ga Team | L1ga Team | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23739 |
| 14.08.26 | Team Spirit – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 11.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23738 |
| 14.08.26 | GamerLegion – Vici Gaming | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23737 |
| 14.08.26 | 1w Team – Team Falcons | Team Falcons | 6.60 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23736 |
| 14.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – PARIVISION | BETBOOM Team | 9.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23735 |
| 14.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Nigma Galaxy | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23733 |
| 14.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegion | Xtreme Gaming | 15.00 | 1 | lost | -1 | -23732 |
| 13.08.26 | OG – Nigma Galaxy | OG | 5.80 | 2 | lost | -2 | -23730 |
| 13.08.26 | Team Resilience – LGD Gaming | Team Resilience | 8.50 | 2 | lost | -2 | -23729 |
| 13.08.26 | Team Yandex – L1ga Team | L1ga Team | 15.00 | 2 | lost | -2 | -23727 |
| 13.08.26 | Team Spirit – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 14.00 | 2 | lost | -2 | -23725 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 2 | lost | -2 | -23724 |
| 13.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 2 | lost | -2 | -23722 |
| 13.08.26 | 1w Team – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 15.00 | 2 | lost | -2 | -23720 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 15.00 | 2 | lost | -2 | -23718 |
| 11.08.26 | Rune Eaters – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 15.00 | 2 | lost | -2 | -23715 |
| 11.08.26 | Yellow Submarine – Zero Tenacity | Yellow Submarine | 15.00 | 2 | lost | -2 | -23713 |
| 11.08.26 | Level UP – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 5.30 | 3 | lost | -3 | -23711 |
| 11.08.26 | Rune Eaters – MOUZ | MOUZ | 15.00 | 3 | lost | -3 | -23708 |
| 11.08.26 | Team Spirit Academy – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 13.00 | 3 | lost | -3 | -23705 |
| 11.08.26 | Level UP – Natus Vincere | Level UP | 15.00 | 3 | lost | -3 | -23702 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters – Natus Vincere | Rune Eaters | 15.00 | 3 | lost | -3 | -23699 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters Arise – No Hoodwink | Rune Eaters Arise | 12.00 | 3 | lost | -3 | -23696 |
| 10.08.26 | Yellow Submarine – Level UP | Yellow Submarine | 14.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -23693 |
| 10.08.26 | Team Lynx – Rune Eaters Arise | Team Lynx | 11.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -23689 |
| 10.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Zero Tenacity | Ilbirs eSports | 13.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -23686 |
| 10.08.26 | Power Rangers – MOUZ | Power Rangers | 7.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -23682 |
| 09.08.26 | Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSports | Rune Eaters Arise | 6.00 | 3 | won | +16 | -23677 |
| 09.08.26 | Zero Tenacity – Natus Vincere | Zero Tenacity | 14.00 | 3 | lost | -3 | -23694 |
| 09.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Rune Eaters | Ilbirs eSports | 14.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -23690 |
| 09.08.26 | Level UP – MOUZ | MOUZ | 10.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -23687 |
| 09.08.26 | Power Rangers – Yellow Submarine | Power Rangers | 14.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -23683 |
| 08.08.26 | Team Lynx – Level UP | Team Lynx | 13.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -23679 |
| 08.08.26 | Amaru Gaming – Team Jenz | Team Jenz | 14.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -23675 |
| 08.08.26 | Team Spirit Academy – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 13.00 | 5 | lost | -5 | -23670 |
| 08.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – No Hoodwink | Ilbirs eSports | 13.00 | 5 | lost | -5 | -23665 |
| 08.08.26 | Power Rangers – Team Syntax | Team Syntax | 12.00 | 5 | lost | -5 | -23660 |
| 07.08.26 | Team Jenz – Nemiga Gaming | Team Jenz | 14.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -23655 |
| 07.08.26 | Power Rangers – Team Jenz | Team Jenz | 10.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -23650 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.