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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dead Denastyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Magnus
Magnussignature
YamSun · 10 games
70%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Bignum · 8 games
63%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Bignum · 6 games
67%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Speeed · 5 games
80%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Fayde · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 5 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bignum · 4 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fayde · 4 games
75%

Dead Denasty

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
482 picks · 415 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
445 picks · 576 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
427 picks · 229 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
424 picks · 537 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
417 picks · 728 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
411 picks · 485 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 594 bans
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
358 picks · 939 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total78% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:13
Wildcard Gaming 78%Dead Denasty 22%
The model gave 78% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 23:16.
Game 2prediction correct30:4
Wildcard Gaming 78%Dead Denasty 22%
The model gave 78% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 14:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 78%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2