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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-260u
ROI
-2.1%
win rate
45%
bets
1328
drawdown
46.8%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-445u
period 3profit withdrawn+47u
period 2top-up-122u
period 1profit withdrawn+259u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
1% of bankroll132845%-260-2.1%46.8%Selected
Flat (10 units)132845%-363-2.7%55.2%Select
2% of bankroll132845%-376-1.7%65%Select
5% of bankroll132845%-392-0.8%80.1%Select
10% of bankroll132845%-407-0.5%89.1%Select
Martingale9251%-1000-26.4%100%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1328, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityVitality2.145won+6740
20.08.26B8 – SpiritB82.386lost-6733
20.08.26OG – SPARTASPARTA2.026lost-6739
20.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – benched godsbenched gods2.026won+6744
20.08.26Falcons – The MongolZThe MongolZ2.496lost-6739
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.166lost-6744
20.08.26Bushido Wildcats – RaccoonsRaccoons2.356lost-6750
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZGamerLegion2.416lost-6756
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraFURIA2.026won+6761
19.08.26Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRITDrip Too Hard2.166lost-6756
19.08.26Honvéd – Bushido WildcatsHonvéd2.816won+10761
19.08.26EAC – ColorColor2.016won+6751
19.08.26Permitta – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.026won+6745
19.08.26G2 – AstralisAstralis2.066lost-6740
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity2.176won+6745
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseLavked2.175won+6739
19.08.26Permitta – EACPermitta2.096lost-6733
19.08.26Black Phoenix – Bushido WildcatsBlack Phoenix2.785won+10738
19.08.26Noir Verse – ENCENoir Verse2.205won+6728
19.08.26Misa – The Last ResortMisa2.195lost-5722
19.08.26Mai Tai – HonvédMai Tai2.575lost-5727
19.08.26Entropy – Fire FluxEntropy2.166lost-6733
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTAMOUZ NXT2.056lost-6738
19.08.26G2 Ares – ex-Zero TenacityG2 Ares2.006lost-6744
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaPermitta2.016lost-6750
19.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Endless JourneyEndless Journey2.736lost-6755
19.08.26GenOne – UNiTYUNiTY2.546lost-6761
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraMisa2.096won+6767
18.08.26EAC – OGOG2.066won+6761
18.08.26Omega – EntropyEntropy2.686won+9755
18.08.26Fortress – PermittaFortress2.436lost-6745
18.08.26DONSTU – MOUZ NXTDONSTU2.026lost-6751
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICEntropy2.116lost-6757
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexarex-Zero Tenacity2.016won+6762
18.08.26Leo – ex-RUSTECLeo2.016lost-6757
18.08.26Bushido Wildcats – MisaMisa3.506lost-6762
18.08.26WBT – Mai TaiMai Tai3.076lost-6768
18.08.26Color – MisaMisa2.066lost-6774
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxFire Flux2.296won+8780
18.08.26Metizport – DONSTUDONSTU2.136lost-6772
18.08.26EAC – FortressFortress2.686lost-6778
18.08.26MASONIC – BebopBebop2.086lost-6784
18.08.26Fortress – ex-MANAFortress2.036lost-6790
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTECex-Zero Tenacity2.416won+9797
18.08.26ENCE – Mai TaiMai Tai2.466lost-6788
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – PermittaPermitta2.776lost-6794
17.08.26Enjoy – HAVUHAVU2.666won+10800
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.866lost-6790
17.08.26mellren – Noir VerseNoir Verse2.156lost-6796
17.08.26Nexus – G2 AresG2 Ares2.056won+6802
17.08.26LPH – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.236lost-6796
17.08.26Noir Verse – ex-RUSTECNoir Verse2.196lost-6802
17.08.26NEW VISION – VexarNEW VISION2.106lost-6808
17.08.26Atreides – ex-Sashi AcademyAtreides2.066lost-6815
17.08.26benched gods – Phantom Academybenched gods2.036won+6821
17.08.26ex-RUSTEC – DragonClawDragonClaw2.726lost-6815
17.08.26paiN Academy – QUINTESSÊNCIApaiN Academy2.166lost-6821
16.08.26Lavked – INOX DivisionLavked2.706won+11827
16.08.26EAC – BASEMENT BOYSEAC2.186won+7817
16.08.26Legacy – MIBRLegacy2.026won+6809
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.