?

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-5745u
ROI
-10.2%
win rate
40%
bets
3613
drawdown
437.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-1000u
period 6top-up-1000u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4top-up-651u
period 3top-up-996u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1top-up-98u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale5347%-786-37.6%83.5%Select
Flat (10 units)211841%-1819-8.6%177.6%Select
1% of bankroll361340%-2399-8.9%232.9%Select
2% of bankroll361340%-3493-8.4%325.8%Select
5% of bankroll361340%-4552-8%386.8%Select
10% of bankroll361340%-5745-10.2%437.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 3613, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.570lost-0-4745
14.10.26ex-RUSTEC – mellrenmellren2.020lost-0-4745
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.420lost-0-4745
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.190lost-0-4745
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.670won+0-4745
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.410won+0-4745
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.050won+0-4745
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.210lost-0-4745
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.090won+0-4745
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.780lost-0-4745
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.010lost-0-4745
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.290won+0-4745
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.110lost-0-4745
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.900lost-0-4745
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.450lost-0-4745
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.040lost-0-4745
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.160lost-0-4745
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.300lost-0-4745
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.040won+0-4745
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.110lost-0-4745
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.100lost-0-4745
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.240won+0-4745
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.120won+0-4745
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.180lost-0-4745
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.260lost-0-4745
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.350lost-0-4745
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.010lost-0-4745
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.690lost-0-4745
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.710won+0-4745
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.090lost-0-4745
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.680lost-0-4745
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.180lost-0-4745
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.180won+0-4745
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.450lost-0-4745
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.040lost-0-4745
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.070won+0-4745
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.020won+0-4745
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.550lost-0-4745
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.060won+0-4745
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.040lost-0-4745
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.180lost-0-4745
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.090lost-0-4745
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.610lost-0-4745
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.120won+0-4745
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.400lost-0-4745
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.200won+0-4745
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.640lost-0-4745
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.450won+0-4745
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.520lost-0-4745
11.10.26FOKUS – Nordic PartnersNordic Partners2.690won+0-4745
11.10.26Imperial – NRGNRG3.040lost-0-4745
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.900lost-0-4745
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.310lost-0-4745
11.10.26Kaleido – Chinggis WarriorsKaleido2.500lost-0-4745
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.540won+0-4745
11.10.26megoshort – Noir Versemegoshort2.120won+0-4745
11.10.26Fire Flux – GothicGothic2.590lost-0-4745
11.10.265star – Chinggis Warriors5star2.020lost-0-4745
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.550lost-0-4745
11.10.26FlyQuest – AbyssalAbyssal2.520lost-0-4745
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.