Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-267u
ROI
-17.2%
win rate
25%
bets
156
drawdown
31.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-60u
period 6top-up-79u
period 5top-up-154u
period 4profit withdrawn+42u
period 3top-up-39u
period 2profit withdrawn+24u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 37 | 30% | -194 | -7.9% | 58.2% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -267 | -17.2% | 31.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 156 | 25% | -271 | -17.3% | 32.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -524 | -17.1% | 59.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -1224 | -16.4% | 119.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -2109 | -15.1% | 161.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 156, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | XI | 3.18 | 9 | lost | -9 | 733 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 9 | won | +20 | 743 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 9 | lost | -9 | 723 |
| 11.10.26 | Imperial – NRG | NRG | 3.04 | 9 | lost | -9 | 733 |
| 11.10.26 | Unreal Nightmare – Without a Roof | Unreal Nightmare | 3.81 | 10 | lost | -10 | 742 |
| 10.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.15 | 9 | won | +20 | 752 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 9 | lost | -9 | 732 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 741 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 9 | won | +28 | 751 |
| 10.10.26 | mellren – Honvéd | Honvéd | 3.06 | 9 | lost | -9 | 723 |
| 09.10.26 | Nemiga – Gothic | Gothic | 4.64 | 9 | lost | -9 | 732 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 9 | won | +19 | 741 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Lilmix | 4.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 722 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 9 | lost | -9 | 732 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 741 |
| 08.10.26 | Nemiga – Lavked | Lavked | 5.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 751 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 760 |
| 07.10.26 | Spirit – M80 | M80 | 3.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 770 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 10 | won | +23 | 780 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 757 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.59 | 9 | won | +25 | 767 |
| 06.10.26 | MASONIC – ex-Zero Tenacity | MASONIC | 3.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 742 |
| 04.10.26 | Nemiga – Astralis | Astralis | 3.68 | 9 | won | +25 | 752 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 9 | lost | -9 | 727 |
| 03.10.26 | Luminosity – Nemiga | Luminosity | 3.91 | 10 | lost | -10 | 736 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 746 |
| 03.10.26 | Legacy – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 3.02 | 9 | won | +19 | 755 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 736 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 746 |
| 02.10.26 | HAVU – Sangal | HAVU | 3.14 | 9 | won | +20 | 755 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 735 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 745 |
| 02.10.26 | Lilmix – Eternal Fire | Lilmix | 5.74 | 10 | lost | -10 | 754 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 10 | won | +19 | 764 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Lilmix | Lilmix | 4.73 | 10 | lost | -10 | 745 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | HAVU | 3.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | 755 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 764 |
| 02.10.26 | SINNERS – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 774 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 784 |
| 30.09.26 | ex-RUSTEC – BERG | BERG | 3.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 794 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 803 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 9 | lost | -9 | 813 |
| 29.09.26 | Villainous – LAG | Villainous | 3.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 822 |
| 28.09.26 | BET-M – Nemiga | BET-M | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 832 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 841 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 851 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 861 |
| 27.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 3.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 871 |
| 27.09.26 | Marsborne – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 881 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 10 | won | +20 | 891 |
| 26.09.26 | Privateer – mellren | Privateer | 3.31 | 10 | lost | -10 | 871 |
| 26.09.26 | Nemiga – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 3.40 | 10 | won | +24 | 881 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 858 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 868 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 878 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 888 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 898 |
| 25.09.26 | DETONATE – LAG | DETONATE | 3.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 908 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.05 | 11 | lost | -11 | 919 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Just Players | 3.77 | 11 | lost | -11 | 929 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.