Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-2109u
ROI
-15.1%
win rate
25%
bets
156
drawdown
161.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-622u
period 6top-up-750u
period 5top-up-844u
period 4profit withdrawn+286u
period 3top-up-360u
period 2profit withdrawn+182u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 37 | 30% | -194 | -7.9% | 58.2% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -267 | -17.2% | 31.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 156 | 25% | -271 | -17.3% | 32.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -524 | -17.1% | 59.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -1224 | -16.4% | 119.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 156 | 25% | -2109 | -15.1% | 161.2% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 156, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | XI | 3.18 | 42 | lost | -42 | -1109 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 35 | won | +73 | -1067 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 38 | lost | -38 | -1140 |
| 11.10.26 | Imperial – NRG | NRG | 3.04 | 43 | lost | -43 | -1101 |
| 11.10.26 | Unreal Nightmare – Without a Roof | Unreal Nightmare | 3.81 | 47 | lost | -47 | -1059 |
| 10.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.15 | 39 | won | +84 | -1011 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 43 | lost | -43 | -1095 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 48 | lost | -48 | -1052 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 37 | won | +112 | -1004 |
| 10.10.26 | mellren – Honvéd | Honvéd | 3.06 | 41 | lost | -41 | -1115 |
| 09.10.26 | Nemiga – Gothic | Gothic | 4.64 | 46 | lost | -46 | -1074 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 38 | won | +79 | -1028 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Lilmix | 4.10 | 42 | lost | -42 | -1107 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 47 | lost | -47 | -1065 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 52 | lost | -52 | -1018 |
| 08.10.26 | Nemiga – Lavked | Lavked | 5.23 | 58 | lost | -58 | -966 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 64 | lost | -64 | -908 |
| 07.10.26 | Spirit – M80 | M80 | 3.15 | 71 | lost | -71 | -844 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 58 | won | +136 | -773 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 64 | lost | -64 | -909 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.59 | 51 | won | +132 | -845 |
| 06.10.26 | MASONIC – ex-Zero Tenacity | MASONIC | 3.08 | 57 | lost | -57 | -977 |
| 04.10.26 | Nemiga – Astralis | Astralis | 3.68 | 45 | won | +120 | -920 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 50 | lost | -50 | -1040 |
| 03.10.26 | Luminosity – Nemiga | Luminosity | 3.91 | 55 | lost | -55 | -991 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 61 | lost | -61 | -936 |
| 03.10.26 | Legacy – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 3.02 | 51 | won | +103 | -874 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 57 | lost | -57 | -977 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 63 | lost | -63 | -921 |
| 02.10.26 | HAVU – Sangal | HAVU | 3.14 | 52 | won | +111 | -858 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 57 | lost | -57 | -969 |
| 02.10.26 | Lilmix – Eternal Fire | Lilmix | 5.74 | 64 | lost | -64 | -911 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.22 | 71 | lost | -71 | -847 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 59 | won | +119 | -776 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Lilmix | Lilmix | 4.73 | 66 | lost | -66 | -896 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.53 | 73 | lost | -73 | -830 |
| 02.10.26 | SINNERS – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.49 | 81 | lost | -81 | -757 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | HAVU | 3.69 | 90 | lost | -90 | -676 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 100 | lost | -100 | -586 |
| 30.09.26 | ex-RUSTEC – BERG | BERG | 3.10 | 28 | lost | -28 | -486 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 31 | lost | -31 | -458 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 34 | lost | -34 | -428 |
| 29.09.26 | Villainous – LAG | Villainous | 3.13 | 38 | lost | -38 | -393 |
| 28.09.26 | BET-M – Nemiga | BET-M | 3.30 | 42 | lost | -42 | -355 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 47 | lost | -47 | -313 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 52 | lost | -52 | -266 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 58 | lost | -58 | -214 |
| 27.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 3.09 | 64 | lost | -64 | -156 |
| 27.09.26 | Marsborne – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.29 | 72 | lost | -72 | -91 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 60 | won | +120 | -19 |
| 26.09.26 | Privateer – mellren | Privateer | 3.31 | 66 | lost | -66 | -140 |
| 26.09.26 | Nemiga – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 3.40 | 53 | won | +128 | -74 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 59 | lost | -59 | -202 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 66 | lost | -66 | -142 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 73 | lost | -73 | -76 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.09 | 81 | lost | -81 | -3 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 90 | lost | -90 | 78 |
| 25.09.26 | DETONATE – LAG | DETONATE | 3.23 | 101 | lost | -101 | 169 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.05 | 112 | lost | -112 | 269 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Just Players | 3.77 | 124 | lost | -124 | 381 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.