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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
+894u
ROI
+13.8%
win rate
32%
bets
117
drawdown
50%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+97u
period 2profit withdrawn+843u
period 1top-up-46u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale11732%+894+13.8%50%Selected
1% of bankroll11732%-316-29.1%31.6%Select
Flat (10 units)11732%-330-28.2%33%Select
2% of bankroll11732%-604-30%60.4%Select
5% of bankroll11732%-1311-32.5%131.1%Select
10% of bankroll11732%-2058-35.8%205.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 117, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8980lost-801894
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4540lost-401974
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5220lost-202014
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4310lost-102034
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1320won+432044
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4310lost-102001
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0380won+822011
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0240lost-401929
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2120lost-201969
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1110lost-101989
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5580won+1241999
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0140lost-401875
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2220lost-201915
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-101935
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.01160won+1621945
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1480lost-801783
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3240lost-401863
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1320lost-201903
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1910lost-101923
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2220won+241933
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1910lost-101908
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.20320won+3831918
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.36160lost-1601535
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0880lost-801695
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0340lost-401775
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2320lost-201815
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1110lost-101835
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+111845
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+121835
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0420won+211823
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0310lost-101802
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.03160won+1651812
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0580lost-801647
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0640lost-401727
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0320lost-201767
01.10.26Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAMBETBOOM TEAM2.3910lost-101787
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0710won+111797
30.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.4640won+581787
30.09.26Team Spirit – 1w Team1w Team2.2020lost-201728
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6810lost-101748
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7580won+1401758
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0540lost-401618
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1320lost-201658
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2310lost-101678
27.09.26Team Yandex – Natus VincereTeam Yandex2.2510won+121688
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.05160won+1691676
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4680lost-801507
26.09.26Natus Vincere – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming2.2240lost-401587
26.09.26Daxak Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.5920lost-201627
26.09.26Aurora Gaming – Natus VincereAurora Gaming2.3110lost-101647
25.09.26YBN Team – TpaBoMaH TeamYBN Team2.1720won+231657
25.09.26Cake Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.1010lost-101634
25.09.26Stray Team – Rostik TeamStray Team2.1810won+121644
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0110won+101632
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4380won+1151622
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2140lost-401507
24.09.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team2.3420lost-201547
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5410lost-101567
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.47160won+2351577
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1080lost-801342
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.