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Always the underdog

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-6685u
ROI
-9.4%
win rate
43%
bets
5546
drawdown
571.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-1000u
period 6top-up-1000u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4top-up-990u
period 3top-up-998u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1top-up-697u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale26450%-104-1.2%57.3%Select
Flat (10 units)117245%-1016-8.7%101.5%Select
1% of bankroll554643%-2948-7.7%289.4%Select
2% of bankroll554643%-4285-7.7%411.4%Select
5% of bankroll554643%-5867-8.3%532.1%Select
10% of bankroll554643%-6685-9.4%571.2%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5546, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.420lost-0-5685
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.190lost-0-5685
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.670won+0-5685
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.900lost-0-5685
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.050won+0-5685
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.210lost-0-5685
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.090won+0-5685
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.780lost-0-5685
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.010lost-0-5685
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.290won+0-5685
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.110lost-0-5685
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.900lost-0-5685
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoLiquid1.930won+0-5685
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.450lost-0-5685
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.160lost-0-5685
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.040lost-0-5685
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.900lost-0-5685
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.300lost-0-5685
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.040won+0-5685
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.990lost-0-5685
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.110lost-0-5685
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.100lost-0-5685
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.240won+0-5685
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.960won+0-5685
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.950lost-0-5685
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.120won+0-5685
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.180lost-0-5685
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.260lost-0-5685
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.350lost-0-5685
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.010lost-0-5685
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.690lost-0-5685
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.950lost-0-5685
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.710won+0-5685
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.090lost-0-5685
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.680lost-0-5685
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.180lost-0-5685
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.180won+0-5685
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.450lost-0-5685
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.990lost-0-5685
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.040lost-0-5685
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.070won+0-5685
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.020won+0-5685
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.540lost-0-5685
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.970won+0-5685
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.040lost-0-5685
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.060won+0-5685
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.960lost-0-5685
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.960won+0-5685
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.180lost-0-5685
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEWildcard1.900won+0-5685
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.610lost-0-5685
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.090lost-0-5685
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.120won+0-5685
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds1.990won+0-5685
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.400lost-0-5685
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.910won+0-5685
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.970lost-0-5685
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.200won+0-5685
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.640lost-0-5685
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.450won+0-5685
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.