Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+873u
ROI
+13.3%
win rate
32%
bets
117
drawdown
50%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+77u
period 2profit withdrawn+842u
period 1top-up-46u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 117 | 32% | +873 | +13.3% | 50% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 117 | 32% | -316 | -29.1% | 31.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 117 | 32% | -330 | -28.2% | 33% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 117 | 32% | -604 | -30% | 60.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 117 | 32% | -1311 | -32.4% | 131.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 117 | 32% | -2058 | -35.7% | 205.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 117, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Team Lynx – PuckChamp | PuckChamp | 2.89 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1873 |
| 14.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Kalmychata | Nemiga Gaming | 2.45 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1953 |
| 14.10.26 | Inner Circle – Team Lynx | Inner Circle | 2.52 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1993 |
| 13.10.26 | HULIGANI – Yellow Submarine | HULIGANI | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2013 |
| 13.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Dawn Bulls | Nemiga Gaming | 3.13 | 20 | won | +43 | 2023 |
| 13.10.26 | Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1980 |
| 13.10.26 | Gorgc Team – Nix Team | Gorgc Team | 2.03 | 160 | won | +165 | 1990 |
| 13.10.26 | HULIGANI – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.02 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1826 |
| 13.10.26 | Team Lynx – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 2.21 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1906 |
| 12.10.26 | The WarriorsQ – Dawn Bulls | The WarriorsQ | 2.11 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1946 |
| 12.10.26 | CyberHero – Team Lynx | CyberHero | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1966 |
| 12.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – 111 | Nemiga Gaming | 2.55 | 40 | won | +62 | 1976 |
| 12.10.26 | CyberHero – PuckChamp | PuckChamp | 2.22 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1914 |
| 11.10.26 | Team Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1934 |
| 11.10.26 | Hokori – New Growth | Hokori | 2.01 | 160 | won | +162 | 1944 |
| 09.10.26 | Team Spirit – Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming | 2.14 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1781 |
| 08.10.26 | PARIVISION – Team Yandex | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1861 |
| 08.10.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.13 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1901 |
| 07.10.26 | MOUZ – CyberHero | MOUZ | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1921 |
| 07.10.26 | Yellow Submarine – BlasterbI | BlasterbI | 2.22 | 20 | won | +24 | 1931 |
| 06.10.26 | LEGION – MOUZ | MOUZ | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1907 |
| 06.10.26 | Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine | Team Synapse | 2.20 | 320 | won | +383 | 1917 |
| 06.10.26 | BlasterbI – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.36 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1534 |
| 06.10.26 | HULIGANI – CyberHero | HULIGANI | 2.08 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1694 |
| 05.10.26 | MOUZ – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.03 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1774 |
| 05.10.26 | Yellow Submarine – CyberHero | CyberHero | 2.23 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1814 |
| 05.10.26 | Team Synapse – HULIGANI | HULIGANI | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1834 |
| 03.10.26 | Team Spirit – Team Yandex | Team Spirit | 2.05 | 10 | won | +11 | 1844 |
| 03.10.26 | Daxak Team – Cake Team | Cake Team | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 1833 |
| 03.10.26 | PARIVISION – Aurora Gaming | PARIVISION | 2.04 | 20 | won | +21 | 1821 |
| 02.10.26 | GamerLegion – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1801 |
| 02.10.26 | 1w Team – Team Nemesis | 1w Team | 2.03 | 160 | won | +165 | 1811 |
| 01.10.26 | GamerLegion – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 2.05 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1646 |
| 01.10.26 | Aurora Gaming – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 2.06 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1726 |
| 01.10.26 | MOUZ – OG | MOUZ | 2.03 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1766 |
| 01.10.26 | Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAM | BETBOOM TEAM | 2.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1786 |
| 30.09.26 | PARIVISION – LGD Gaming | PARIVISION | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 1796 |
| 30.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere | Team Nemesis | 2.46 | 40 | won | +58 | 1785 |
| 30.09.26 | Team Spirit – 1w Team | 1w Team | 2.20 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1727 |
| 30.09.26 | Team Yandex – MOUZ | MOUZ | 2.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1747 |
| 29.09.26 | 1w Team – Natus Vincere | 1w Team | 2.75 | 80 | won | +140 | 1757 |
| 29.09.26 | Team Spirit – Team Nemesis | Team Nemesis | 2.05 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1617 |
| 27.09.26 | YBN Team – Cake Team | YBN Team | 2.13 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1657 |
| 27.09.26 | Daxak Team – Rostik Team | Rostik Team | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1677 |
| 27.09.26 | Team Yandex – Natus Vincere | Team Yandex | 2.25 | 10 | won | +12 | 1687 |
| 27.09.26 | Stray Team – YBN Team | YBN Team | 2.05 | 160 | won | +169 | 1674 |
| 27.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | LGD Gaming | 2.46 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1505 |
| 26.09.26 | Natus Vincere – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 2.22 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1585 |
| 26.09.26 | Daxak Team – YBN Team | YBN Team | 2.59 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1625 |
| 26.09.26 | Aurora Gaming – Natus Vincere | Aurora Gaming | 2.31 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1645 |
| 25.09.26 | YBN Team – TpaBoMaH Team | YBN Team | 2.17 | 20 | won | +23 | 1655 |
| 25.09.26 | Cake Team – gpK~ Team | gpK~ Team | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1632 |
| 25.09.26 | Stray Team – Rostik Team | Stray Team | 2.18 | 10 | won | +12 | 1642 |
| 25.09.26 | Xtreme Gaming – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1630 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine | Team Synapse | 2.43 | 80 | won | +115 | 1620 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere | Team Nemesis | 2.21 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1506 |
| 24.09.26 | NS Team – Rostik Team | NS Team | 2.34 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1546 |
| 24.09.26 | Daxak Team – gpK~ Team | gpK~ Team | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1566 |
| 24.09.26 | Natus Vincere – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.47 | 160 | won | +235 | 1576 |
| 24.09.26 | YBN Team – Rostik Team | YBN Team | 2.10 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1341 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.