?

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

profit
-19127u
ROI
-96.4%
win rate
1%
bets
4061
drawdown
1912.7%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-620u
period 24top-up-598u
period 23top-up-744u
period 22top-up-873u
period 21top-up-817u
period 20top-up-769u
period 19top-up-870u
period 18top-up-892u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
Flat (10 units)1461%-1300-89.3%130%Select
1% of bankroll40611%-19127-96.4%1912.7%Select
2% of bankroll40611%-23191-96.6%2319.1%Select
5% of bankroll40611%-24753-97.2%2475.3%Select
Quarter Kelly40551%-24955-96.6%2495.5%Select
10% of bankroll40611%-24957-96.7%2495.7%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4061, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.004lost-4-18127
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.004lost-4-18123
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team15.004lost-4-18119
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.004lost-4-18116
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w TeamGamerLegion15.004lost-4-18112
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience14.004lost-4-18108
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamAurora Gaming9.004lost-4-18104
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.004lost-4-18099
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming6.004lost-4-18095
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.004lost-4-18091
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming14.004lost-4-18087
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.004lost-4-18083
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.004lost-4-18078
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.004lost-4-18074
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.304lost-4-18070
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.004lost-4-18065
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.005lost-5-18061
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Resilience15.005lost-5-18056
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.005lost-5-18052
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.005lost-5-18047
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingTeam Yandex5.305lost-5-18043
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.005lost-5-18038
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Liquid11.005lost-5-18033
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingGamerLegion15.005lost-5-18028
14.08.261w Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons6.605lost-5-18023
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONBETBOOM Team9.005lost-5-18019
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.005lost-5-18014
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionXtreme Gaming15.005lost-5-18009
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.805lost-5-18004
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingTeam Resilience8.505lost-5-17998
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.005lost-5-17993
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming14.005lost-5-17988
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.005lost-5-17983
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.005lost-5-17978
13.08.261w Team – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy15.005lost-5-17972
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.005lost-5-17967
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.006lost-6-17961
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.006lost-6-17956
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy5.306lost-6-17950
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.006lost-6-17945
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.006lost-6-17939
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereLevel UP15.006lost-6-17933
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.006lost-6-17927
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.006lost-6-17922
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPYellow Submarine14.006lost-6-17916
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseTeam Lynx11.006lost-6-17910
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityIlbirs eSports13.006lost-6-17904
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZPower Rangers7.006lost-6-17897
09.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSportsRune Eaters Arise6.006won+29-17891
09.08.26Zero Tenacity – Natus VincereZero Tenacity14.006lost-6-17921
09.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Rune EatersIlbirs eSports14.006lost-6-17915
09.08.26Level UP – MOUZMOUZ10.006lost-6-17909
09.08.26Power Rangers – Yellow SubmarinePower Rangers14.006lost-6-17903
08.08.26Team Lynx – Level UPTeam Lynx13.006lost-6-17897
08.08.26Amaru Gaming – Team JenzTeam Jenz14.006lost-6-17890
08.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.006lost-6-17884
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.006lost-6-17878
08.08.26Power Rangers – Team SyntaxTeam Syntax12.006lost-6-17872
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingTeam Jenz14.006lost-6-17865
07.08.26Power Rangers – Team JenzTeam Jenz10.007lost-7-17859
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.