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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2950u
ROI
-7.7%
win rate
43%
bets
5551
drawdown
288.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-538u
period 6top-up-789u
period 5top-up-591u
period 4top-up-71u
period 3top-up-260u
period 2top-up-676u
period 1top-up-26u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale26450%-138-1.6%58.3%Select
Flat (10 units)117445%-1016-8.7%101.5%Select
1% of bankroll555143%-2950-7.7%288.4%Selected
2% of bankroll555143%-4286-7.7%406.5%Select
5% of bankroll555143%-5866-8.3%513.8%Select
10% of bankroll555143%-6685-9.4%532.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5551, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Bushido Wildcats – BAKSBAKS1.995won+5-1950
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.575lost-5-1954
14.10.26ex-RUSTEC – mellrenmellren2.025lost-5-1950
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.935lost-5-1945
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.425lost-5-1940
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.195lost-5-1935
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.675won+8-1931
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.905lost-5-1939
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.415won+7-1934
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.055won+5-1940
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.215lost-5-1945
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.095won+5-1941
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.785lost-5-1946
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.015lost-5-1941
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.295won+6-1936
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.115lost-5-1942
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.905lost-5-1938
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoLiquid1.935won+4-1933
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.455lost-5-1937
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.045lost-5-1932
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.165lost-5-1928
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.305lost-5-1923
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.905lost-5-1918
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.045won+5-1913
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.115lost-5-1918
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.995lost-5-1913
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.105lost-5-1908
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.245won+6-1903
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.965won+5-1909
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.955lost-5-1914
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.125won+6-1909
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.185lost-5-1914
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.265lost-5-1909
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.355lost-5-1904
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.015lost-5-1899
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.695lost-5-1894
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.955lost-5-1889
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.715won+9-1883
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.095lost-5-1892
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.685lost-5-1887
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.185lost-5-1882
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.185won+6-1876
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.995lost-5-1883
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.455lost-5-1877
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.045lost-5-1872
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.075won+6-1866
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.025won+5-1872
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.555lost-5-1878
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.975won+5-1872
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.065won+6-1877
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.045lost-5-1883
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.965lost-5-1878
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.965won+5-1872
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.185lost-5-1877
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEWildcard1.905won+5-1872
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.095lost-5-1877
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.615lost-5-1871
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.125won+11-1866
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds1.995won+5-1877
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.405lost-5-1882
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.