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Always the underdog

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-4279u
ROI
-7.6%
win rate
43%
bets
5547
drawdown
411.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-793u
period 6top-up-962u
period 5top-up-851u
period 4top-up-210u
period 3top-up-488u
period 2top-up-905u
period 1top-up-70u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale26450%-104-1.2%57.3%Select
Flat (10 units)117245%-1016-8.7%101.5%Select
1% of bankroll554743%-2941-7.7%289.7%Select
2% of bankroll554743%-4279-7.6%411.7%Selected
5% of bankroll554743%-5866-8.3%532.2%Select
10% of bankroll554743%-6685-9.4%571.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5547, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.424lost-4-3279
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.194lost-4-3275
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.674won+7-3271
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.414won+6-3278
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.054won+4-3284
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.904lost-4-3288
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.214lost-4-3284
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.094won+4-3280
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.784lost-4-3284
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.014lost-4-3280
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.294won+5-3276
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.114lost-4-3281
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.904lost-4-3277
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoLiquid1.934won+4-3272
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.454lost-4-3276
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.044lost-4-3272
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.164lost-4-3268
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.305lost-5-3263
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.905lost-5-3259
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.045won+5-3254
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.995lost-5-3259
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.115lost-5-3254
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.105lost-5-3249
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.245won+6-3244
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.965won+4-3250
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.955lost-5-3255
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.125won+5-3250
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.265lost-5-3255
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.185lost-5-3251
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.355lost-5-3246
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.015lost-5-3241
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.695lost-5-3236
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.955lost-5-3231
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.715won+9-3225
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.095lost-5-3234
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.685lost-5-3229
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.185lost-5-3224
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.185won+6-3218
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.455lost-5-3224
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.995lost-5-3219
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.046lost-6-3214
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.075won+6-3208
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.025won+5-3214
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.545lost-5-3219
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.975won+5-3214
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.045lost-5-3219
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.065won+6-3214
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.965lost-5-3219
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.965won+5-3214
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.185lost-5-3219
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEWildcard1.905won+5-3214
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.615lost-5-3218
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.096lost-6-3213
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.125won+11-3207
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds1.995won+5-3219
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.405lost-5-3224
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.645lost-5-3219
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.976lost-6-3213
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.205won+7-3207
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.915won+5-3214
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.