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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2950u
ROI
-7.7%
win rate
43%
bets
5551
drawdown
288.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-538u
period 6top-up-789u
period 5top-up-591u
period 4top-up-71u
period 3top-up-260u
period 2top-up-676u
period 1top-up-26u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale26450%-138-1.6%58.3%Select
Flat (10 units)117445%-1016-8.7%101.5%Select
1% of bankroll555143%-2950-7.7%288.4%Select
2% of bankroll555143%-4286-7.7%406.5%Select
5% of bankroll555143%-5866-8.3%513.8%Select
10% of bankroll555143%-6685-9.4%532.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5551, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Bushido Wildcats – BAKSBAKS1.995won+5-1950
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.575lost-5-1954
14.10.26ex-RUSTEC – mellrenmellren2.025lost-5-1950
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.935lost-5-1945
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.425lost-5-1940
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.195lost-5-1935
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.675won+8-1931
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.905lost-5-1939
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.415won+7-1934
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.055won+5-1940
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.215lost-5-1945
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.095won+5-1941
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.785lost-5-1946
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.015lost-5-1941
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.295won+6-1936
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.115lost-5-1942
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.905lost-5-1938
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoLiquid1.935won+4-1933
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.455lost-5-1937
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.045lost-5-1932
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.165lost-5-1928
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.305lost-5-1923
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.905lost-5-1918
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.045won+5-1913
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.115lost-5-1918
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.995lost-5-1913
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.105lost-5-1908
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.245won+6-1903
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.965won+5-1909
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.955lost-5-1914
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.125won+6-1909
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.185lost-5-1914
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.265lost-5-1909
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.355lost-5-1904
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.015lost-5-1899
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.695lost-5-1894
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.955lost-5-1889
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.715won+9-1883
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.095lost-5-1892
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.685lost-5-1887
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.185lost-5-1882
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.185won+6-1876
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.995lost-5-1883
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.455lost-5-1877
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.045lost-5-1872
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.075won+6-1866
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.025won+5-1872
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.555lost-5-1878
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.975won+5-1872
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.065won+6-1877
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.045lost-5-1883
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.965lost-5-1878
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.965won+5-1872
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.185lost-5-1877
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEWildcard1.905won+5-1872
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.095lost-5-1877
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.615lost-5-1871
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.125won+11-1866
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds1.995won+5-1877
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.405lost-5-1882
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.