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Always the underdog

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-4279u
ROI
-7.6%
win rate
43%
bets
5547
drawdown
411.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-793u
period 6top-up-962u
period 5top-up-851u
period 4top-up-210u
period 3top-up-488u
period 2top-up-905u
period 1top-up-70u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale26450%-104-1.2%57.3%Select
Flat (10 units)117245%-1016-8.7%101.5%Select
1% of bankroll554743%-2941-7.7%289.7%Select
2% of bankroll554743%-4279-7.6%411.7%Select
5% of bankroll554743%-5866-8.3%532.2%Select
10% of bankroll554743%-6685-9.4%571.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5547, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.424lost-4-3279
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.194lost-4-3275
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.674won+7-3271
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.414won+6-3278
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.054won+4-3284
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.904lost-4-3288
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.214lost-4-3284
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.094won+4-3280
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.784lost-4-3284
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.014lost-4-3280
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.294won+5-3276
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.114lost-4-3281
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.904lost-4-3277
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoLiquid1.934won+4-3272
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.454lost-4-3276
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.044lost-4-3272
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.164lost-4-3268
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.305lost-5-3263
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.905lost-5-3259
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.045won+5-3254
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.995lost-5-3259
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.115lost-5-3254
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.105lost-5-3249
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.245won+6-3244
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.965won+4-3250
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.955lost-5-3255
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.125won+5-3250
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.265lost-5-3255
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.185lost-5-3251
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.355lost-5-3246
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.015lost-5-3241
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.695lost-5-3236
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.955lost-5-3231
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.715won+9-3225
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.095lost-5-3234
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.685lost-5-3229
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.185lost-5-3224
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.185won+6-3218
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.455lost-5-3224
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.995lost-5-3219
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.046lost-6-3214
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.075won+6-3208
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.025won+5-3214
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.545lost-5-3219
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.975won+5-3214
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.045lost-5-3219
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.065won+6-3214
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.965lost-5-3219
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.965won+5-3214
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.185lost-5-3219
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEWildcard1.905won+5-3214
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.615lost-5-3218
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.096lost-6-3213
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.125won+11-3207
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds1.995won+5-3219
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.405lost-5-3224
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.645lost-5-3219
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.976lost-6-3213
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.205won+7-3207
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.915won+5-3214
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.