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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-604u
ROI
-30%
win rate
32%
bets
117
drawdown
60.4%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-244u
period 2top-up-264u
period 1top-up-96u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale11732%+894+13.8%50%Select
1% of bankroll11732%-316-29.1%31.6%Select
Flat (10 units)11732%-330-28.2%33%Select
2% of bankroll11732%-604-30%60.4%Selected
5% of bankroll11732%-1311-32.5%131.1%Select
10% of bankroll11732%-2058-35.8%205.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 117, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8915lost-15396
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4516lost-16411
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5216lost-16427
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4316lost-16443
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1316won+34460
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4316lost-16426
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0316won+16442
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0216lost-16426
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2116lost-16442
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1117lost-17458
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5516won+25475
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0117lost-17450
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2217lost-17466
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1217lost-17483
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.0117won+17501
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1417lost-17483
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3218lost-18501
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1318lost-18518
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1918lost-18536
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2218won+22554
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1918lost-18533
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2018won+21551
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3618lost-18529
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0819lost-19548
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0319lost-19566
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2319lost-19585
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1120lost-20604
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0519won+20624
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1919won+22604
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0418won+19581
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0319lost-19562
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0318won+19581
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0519lost-19562
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0619lost-19581
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0320lost-20600
01.10.26Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAMBETBOOM TEAM2.3920lost-20620
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0714won+15640
30.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.4614won+20624
30.09.26Team Spirit – 1w Team1w Team2.2014lost-14604
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6815lost-15618
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7514won+25633
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0514lost-14608
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1315lost-15622
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2315lost-15637
27.09.26Team Yandex – Natus VincereTeam Yandex2.2515won+18652
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0514won+15634
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4615lost-15619
26.09.26Natus Vincere – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming2.2215lost-15633
26.09.26Daxak Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.5915lost-15648
26.09.26Aurora Gaming – Natus VincereAurora Gaming2.3116lost-16664
25.09.26YBN Team – TpaBoMaH TeamYBN Team2.1715won+18679
25.09.26Cake Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.1015lost-15661
25.09.26Stray Team – Rostik TeamStray Team2.1815won+18677
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0115won+15659
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4314won+21644
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2115lost-15623
24.09.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team2.3415lost-15638
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5415lost-15653
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4715won+22668
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1015lost-15647
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.